Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Detroit Tigers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
 Cleveland Guardians | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Data suggests a competitive matchup between the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians, with both teams having significantly similar records in the standings. Detroit's recent track record against the Guardians, particularly their favorable head-to-head results, may provide an advantage at home, where they generally perform better. The predicted score reflects the tight nature of their recent contests.
- Detroit Tigers have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games against the Guardians.
- Cleveland Guardians have a negative run differential this season, allowing 27 more runs than they scored.
- The Tigers have shown better performance at home overall, with a home win rate of 40% compared to the Guardians' away win rate of 50%.
Confidence is moderate because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Detroit Tigers
- Historical edgeDetroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionCleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians sit 2 places above Detroit Tigers in the table.
#2 vs #4 - Weak home recordDetroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers have won 5 of their last 20 home matches.
5/20 home wins - Strong away recordCleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians have won 16 of their last 20 away matches.
16/20 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 52% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Detroit Tigers at 52% — final result was Cleveland Guardians win, Detroit Tigers 4-6 Cleveland Guardians.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Detroit Tigers have averaged 2.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cleveland Guardians have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Detroit Tigers are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Cleveland Guardians.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Detroit Tigers | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.38▼ | 1.30▲ |
| -2 | 3.10▲ | 1.36▼ |
| -1.5 | 2.61 | 1.50 |
| -1 | 2.14▲ | 1.70 |
| +1 | 1.56 | 2.41▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.45▲ | 2.67▼ |
| +2 | 1.25 | 3.55 |
| +2.5 | 1.28 | 3.49▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.44 | 2.70▲ |
| 7 | 1.53▼ | 2.45▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.73▼ | 2.07 |
| 8 | 1.88▼ | 1.93▲ |
| 8.5 | 2.02▼ | 1.79▲ |
| 9 | 2.31▲ | 1.60▲ |
| 9.5 | 2.54▼ | 1.50▲ |
| 10 | 2.83▲ | 1.38▲ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Pittsburgh PiratesFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians?+
Our AI model favors Detroit Tigers to win, with a 52% probability (Cleveland Guardians 48%).
What time does Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians start?+
First pitch is at Aug 12, 2026, 10:40 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians?+
Detroit Tigers: 2, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0. Cleveland Guardians: 2, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 2, 0, 0. Final: 4-6.