Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Detroit Tigers | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 1 |
 Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-5
Data suggests that the Cleveland Guardians have the edge in this matchup, particularly with their strong away record and recent performance against the Tigers. Historically, the Guardians have been able to compete well against Detroit, winning 6 out of their last 10 encounters. The predicted score reflects a close contest, yet favors Cleveland based on their offensive capabilities and form.
- Cleveland Guardians have a 55% away win rate this season.
- Detroit Tigers have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Cleveland Guardians.
- Last 10 game averages show the Guardians scoring slightly more runs than the Tigers.
Confidence is high because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Cleveland Guardians
- Weak home recordDetroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers have won 5 of their last 20 home matches.
5/20 home wins - Strong away recordCleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians have won 16 of their last 20 away matches.
16/20 away wins - Historical edgeDetroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionCleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians sit 2 places above Detroit Tigers in the table.
#2 vs #4
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 55% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Cleveland Guardians at 55% — final result was Detroit Tigers win, Detroit Tigers 3-0 Cleveland Guardians.
Predicted score was 4-5.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Detroit Tigers have averaged 2.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cleveland Guardians have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Detroit Tigers are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Cleveland Guardians.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Detroit Tigers | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 3.80 | 1.25 |
| -1.5 | 3.06 | 1.35 |
| -1 | 2.54▼ | 1.49▲ |
| +1 | 1.78▼ | 2.02▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.63▲ | 2.31 |
| +2 | 1.47 | 2.68▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.38▼ | 2.99▲ |
| +3 | 1.28 | 3.55▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.44▲ | 2.72▼ |
| 7 | 1.51▼ | 2.45▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.73 | 2.08▼ |
| 8 | 1.84▼ | 1.92▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.01▲ | 1.82▼ |
| 9 | 2.26 | 1.60▲ |
| 9.5 | 2.53▲ | 1.51▼ |
| 10 | 2.80▲ | 1.40▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Who is likely to win Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians?+
Our AI model favors Cleveland Guardians to win, with a 55% probability (Detroit Tigers 45%).
What time does Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians start?+
First pitch is at Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians?+
Detroit Tigers: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1. Cleveland Guardians: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 3-0.