Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Dodgers
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Value found
+8.5% edgeLos Angeles Dodgers win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
AI match analysis
Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed
Predicted score: 3-7
Data suggests that the Los Angeles Dodgers are favored to win against the Detroit Tigers, having a significantly stronger record and performance metrics. The Tigers have struggled at home with a 25% win rate this season and an average of just 3.2 runs scored in their last 10 games. In contrast, the Dodgers have averaged 4.7 runs scored per game recently and have a dominant head-to-head history. Overall, the numbers favor the Dodgers for this matchup.
- Los Angeles Dodgers have a 75% away win rate this season.
- Detroit Tigers have averaged only 3.2 runs scored in their last 10 games.
- Historically, the Dodgers have won 7 of the last 10 matchups against the Tigers.
- The Dodgers scored an average of 4.7 runs per game in their last 10 compared to Detroit's 3.2.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.
Why AI favors Los Angeles Dodgers
- Higher league positionLos Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers sit 3 places above Detroit Tigers in the table.
#1 vs #4 - Weak home recordDetroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers have won 5 of their last 20 home matches.
5/20 home wins - Strong away recordLos Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers have won 15 of their last 20 away matches.
15/20 away wins - Sharper attackLos Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers are averaging 4.7 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
4.7/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
Match trends
- Detroit Tigers have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Los Angeles Dodgers have averaged 4.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Detroit Tigers are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Los Angeles Dodgers.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Detroit Tigers | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 4.02▼ | 1.23▲ |
| +1 | 2.42▲ | 1.54▼ |
| +1.5 | 2.03▲ | 1.80▼ |
| +2 | 1.80▲ | 1.99▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.61▲ | 2.27▼ |
| +3 | 1.47▲ | 2.62▼ |
| +3.5 | 1.36 | 3.03▼ |
| +4 | 1.21▲ | 3.90▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.39 | 2.85▲ |
| 6 | 1.45 | 2.64▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.59 | 2.30 |
| 7 | 1.75▼ | 2.03 |
| 7.5 | 1.99▼ | 1.83▲ |
| 8 | 2.19▲ | 1.66▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.37▲ | 1.57▼ |
| 9 | 2.81▲ | 1.41▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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San Diego PadresFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Dodgers?+
Our AI model favors Los Angeles Dodgers to win, with a 75% probability (Detroit Tigers 25%).
What time does Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Dodgers start?+
First pitch is at Aug 28, 2026, 10:40 PM (your local time, based on your device).