Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos

UEFA Europa Conference League· Playoff round
Dinamo Tirana
11Full-time
Pafos
WLGoals 4-1
LLWDGoals 12-15
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 19'Lele
  2. 30'M. Ayodeji
  3. 37'David Luiz (David Luiz)
  4. 39'Domingos Quina
  5. 46'David Luiz (Samy Mmaee)
  6. 57'Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu (J. Correia)
  7. 57'Domingos Quina (A. Brito)
  8. 57'Ivan Šunjić (Gonçalo Rodrigues)
  9. 76'H. Berisha (D. Fadairo)
  10. 76'E. Qardaku (D. Metaj)
  11. 76'K. Qefalija (I. Manellari)
  12. 76'M. Ayodeji (A. Alhassan)
  13. 79'D. Fadairo (U. Ismaili)
  14. 81'A. Teqja
  15. 81'B. Dita
  16. 81'I. Manellari
  17. 82'Lele
  18. 86'L. Vila
  19. 88'Lele (Anderson)
  20. 90'U. Ismaili (B. Aniekan James)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Dinamo TiranaPafos
2.0
Goals/game
1.2
0.5
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Dinamo Tirana win
23.98%
Draw
27.95%
Pafos win
48.08%
47.3%BTTS
48.2%Over 2.5
42.7%Dinamo Tirana clean sheet
17.4%Pafos clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-3

Statistical analysis indicates that Dinamo Tirana is in strong attacking form, having scored 4 goals in their last match. However, Pafos has had a tougher schedule with a mixed record but shows a tendency to score, averaging 1.2 goals in their recent games. The numbers suggest a competitive match, yet the implied probabilities lean towards an away victory for Pafos.

  • Dinamo Tirana scored 4 goals in their recent match against Auda
  • Pafos has a mixed recent record with 1 win in their last 5 matches
  • Pafos’ last 10 matches show an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game
  • Bookmaker-implied probabilities favor Pafos as the away team.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
63/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Pafos

  • Sharper attackDinamo Tirana

    Dinamo Tirana are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2/game
  • Tighter defenseDinamo Tirana

    Dinamo Tirana are conceding just 0.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.5/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Limited recent-match sample

    Dinamo Tirana has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Pafos at 48.08% — final result was a draw, Dinamo Tirana 1-1 Pafos.

Predicted score was 2-3.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (63/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Pafos1.93market 51.7% · model 48.08%
Draw3.30market 30.3% · model 27.95%
Dinamo Tirana3.86market 25.9% · model 23.98%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Dinamo Tirana have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.
  • Pafos have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Dinamo Tirana3.86best 4.10
Draw3.30best 3.45
Pafos1.93best 2.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.12best 2.20
Under 2.51.68best 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes1.90best 2.00
No1.80best 1.85

Double chance

Dinamo Tirana/Draw1.81best 1.87
Dinamo Tirana/Pafos1.28best 1.32
Draw/Pafos1.23best 1.28

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.53best 1.53
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.38best 2.38
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75best 3.75

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Dinamo Tirana3.85 0.10
Draw3.30 0.15
Pafos1.94 0.04
20 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

Dinamo Tirana win0pp
AI
23.98%
Market
24%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
27.95%
Market
28.1%
Pafos win+0.2pp
AI
48.08%
Market
47.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2Goals scored per game1.2
0.5Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 2 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Dinamo Tirana

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
60%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
20%

Pafos

0-15'
25%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
25%

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos?+

Our AI model favors Pafos to win, with a 48.08% probability (Draw 27.95%, Dinamo Tirana 23.98%).

What time does Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).