Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman — Liga Profesional Argentina

Liga Profesional Argentina· Clausura - 5

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

0–1Full-time

Atletico Tucuman

WLWLLDGoals 15-712th in league

LWLLWDGoals 12-165th in league

Home1W 2D 1L(1-1)

Away2W 1D 0L(3-0)

Match events

23'Ibrahim Hesar
44'L. Vega
57'Yeison Moreno (Javier Ferreira)
57'Tomas Gonzalez (S. Rosane)
71'I. Galvan
76'R. Tesuri (R. Granillo)
76'M. Brondo (A. Canelo)
77'Gabriel Alanís (Raúl Lozano)
77'Gonzalo Gonzalez (Nicolás Talpone)
77'C. D. Ferreira Namandu
82'C. D. Ferreira Namandu (L. Godoy)
88'Francisco Romero (Mauro Valiente)
89'I. Galvan
89'I. Galvan
90+1'N. Lamendola (G. Compagnucci)
90'N. Franco (K. Ortíz)
90'L. Vega (J. Fernandez)

Lineups

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Atletico Tucuman

4-4-24-1-4-1

Ruben ForestelloCoach

Julio Falcioni

AI match analysis

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win

26.93%

Draw

33.11%

Atletico Tucuman win

39.95%

48.3%BTTS

45.6%Over 2.5

38.7%Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto clean sheet

21.2%Atletico Tucuman clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Atletico Tucuman struggles significantly in away fixtures, having secured only one victory this season. On the other hand, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto has displayed decent performance at home, which may favor them despite their current standing. The recent head-to-head result also leans in favor of Estudiantes, indicating a potential edge for the home side.

Atletico Tucuman has a poor away record this season with only 1 win in 8 matches.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto has recently shown better form at home, with 1 win and 1 draw in 2 matches.
Historically, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto recently defeated Atletico Tucuman 3-1 in their last encounter.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

72/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Atletico Tucuman

Historical edgeEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.
1/1 H2H wins
Weak home recordEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have won 1 of their last 4 home matches.
1/4 home wins
Strong away recordAtletico Tucuman
Atletico Tucuman have won 2 of their last 3 away matches.
2/3 away wins
Tighter defenseEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.7/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Atletico Tucuman at 39.95% — final result was Atletico Tucuman win, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0-1 Atletico Tucuman.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Atletico Tucuman ✓2.37market 42.2% · model 39.95%

Draw2.82market 35.4% · model 33.11%

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto3.40market 29.4% · model 26.93%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Atletico Tucuman have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto wins

0Draws

0Atletico Tucuman wins

3-1Goals

Atletico Tucuman

1–3May 16, 2023, 11:00 PM

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Odds comparison

Match winner

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto3.40▲best 3.60

Draw2.82▲best 2.92

Atletico Tucuman2.37▼best 2.54

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.91▼best 3.10

Under 2.51.38best 1.42

Both teams to score

Yes2.25▲best 2.38

No1.58▼best 1.62

Double chance

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto/Draw1.55▲best 1.60

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto/Atletico Tucuman1.39▼best 1.44

Draw/Atletico Tucuman1.30▼best 1.34

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.17▼best 2.20

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.62▲best 1.62

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.42▼best 1.44

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.69▲best 2.75

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto3.40▲ 0.57

Draw2.82▲ 0.03

Atletico Tucuman2.37▼ 0.34

14 Aug – 17 Aug

Model vs market

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win-0.6pp

AI

26.93%

Market

27.5%

Draw0pp

AI

33.11%

Market

33.1%

Atletico Tucuman win+0.6pp

AI

39.95%

Market

39.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.