Exeter City vs Accrington ST
Match events
- 2'J. Fitzwater (L. Woodhouse)
- 13'S. Conneely
- 45+1'J. Woods
- 48'J. Wareham
- 55'V. Harper
- 63'S. Whalley (C. Stockton)
- 68'J. Fitzwater
- 70'J. Gordon (S. Cox)
- 70'V. Harper (E. Sutherland)
- 78'C. O'Brien (A. Henderson)
- 78'S. Conneely (L. Coyle)
- 78'Charlie Caton (S. Mols)
- 81'Jake Doyle Hayes (Taylor Perry)
- 81'R. Cole (G. Birch)
- 85'T. Moore
- 89'Gwion Edwards (A. Oluwabori)
- 89'C. Stockton (Charlie Brown)
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 2.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The analysis suggests a closely contested match, as Exeter City has struggled recently, yet they possess a favorable historical record against Accrington ST. While Accrington recently drew their last three matches, Exeter's poor form may hinder their performance at home. Therefore, a draw seems likely, reflecting their respective recent performances and head-to-head history.
- Exeter City has lost their last five matches
- Accrington ST has drawn their last three matches
- Historically, Exeter City has a strong head-to-head record against Accrington ST, winning 5 of the last 5 encounters.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Exeter City
- Higher league positionExeter City
Exeter City sit 6 places above Accrington ST in the table.
#13 vs #19 - Tighter defenseExeter City
Exeter City are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game conceded - Historical edgeExeter City
Exeter City have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Poor recent formExeter City
Exeter City have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
0W 2D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Exeter City at 47% — final result was Exeter City win, Exeter City 2-0 Accrington ST.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (83/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Exeter City have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Accrington ST have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Exeter City
Accrington STAccrington STExeter CityAccrington STExeter CityExeter CityAccrington STExeter CityAccrington STAccrington STExeter CityExeter CityAccrington STAccrington STExeter CityOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Exeter City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 19 | Accrington ST | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | LD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
S. Jackson
Based on 4 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Accrington ST
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NorthamptonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Exeter City vs Accrington ST?+
Our AI model favors Exeter City to win, with a 47% probability (Draw 27%, Accrington ST 26%).
What time does Exeter City vs Accrington ST kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).