FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik
Value found
+4.6% edgeValur Reykjavik win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 5'M. Rasmussen (P. Amoako)
- 45+2'H. Gunnarsson
- 45+3'V. Berthelsen (J. Lahteenmaki)
- 46'J. Lahteenmaki (M. Walker)
- 46'P. Ankersen (M. Tuka)
- 59'M. Nakkim
- 60'M. Rasmussen (L. Sadio)
- 60'B. Heimisson (I. Støle)
- 60'M. Nakkim (P. Pedersen)
- 60'J. Pálsson (S. Veseli)
- 60'N. Rojkjaer (J. Janssen)
- 60'H. Gunnarsson (D. Gardarson)
- 62'M. Walker
- 69'J. Jónsson (B. Antonsson)
- 71'P. Amoako (L. Nene)
- 72'L. Sadio (V. Berthelsen)
- 74'L. Nene (L. Sadio)
- 79'S. Veseli
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 2.1
- 0.7
- Conceded/game
- 2.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-0
The data suggests that FC Nordsjaelland is in solid form at home, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches at this venue. Valur Reykjavik's struggles defensively, averaging 2.2 goals conceded over their last ten matches, highlight potential vulnerabilities against a Nordsjaelland side that scores an average of 1.4 goals per match. Overall, the numbers favor the home team significantly in this matchup.
- FC Nordsjaelland unbeaten in their last 5 home matches
- Valur Reykjavik has conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game in last 10 matches
- FC Nordsjaelland has a strong home scoring average of 1.4 goals per match
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors FC Nordsjaelland
- Tighter defenseFC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.7/game conceded - Strong recent formFC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L - Sharper attackFC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked FC Nordsjaelland at 88.69% — final result was FC Nordsjaelland win, FC Nordsjaelland 5-0 Valur Reykjavik.
Predicted score was 2-0.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- FC Nordsjaelland have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Valur Reykjavik have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
E. Malcevs
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
FC Nordsjaelland
Valur Reykjavik
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TwenteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik?+
Our AI model favors FC Nordsjaelland to win, with a 88.69% probability (Draw 6.58%, Valur Reykjavik 4.73%).
What time does FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).