FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv

Cup· Group Stage - 2
FC Rostov
10Full-time
Lokomotiv
LDDLGoals 9-12
LDDLGoals 8-11
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 46'I. Zhbanov (A. Mironov)
  2. 46'V. Melekhin (Oumar Sako)
  3. 49'A. Rudenko
  4. 55'V. Rakov (S. Pinyaev)
  5. 55'A. Rudenko (Z. Bakaev)
  6. 55'R. Myalkovskiy (V. Golubev)
  7. 63'I. Aznaurov (Olakunle Olusegun)
  8. 63'Karim Madrakhimov (E. Golenkov)
  9. 64'V. Golubev
  10. 67'Lucas Fasson
  11. 71'A. Shamonin (I. Komarov)
  12. 74'D. Godyaev (M. Nenakhov)
  13. 74'A. Kovalenko (N. Saltykov)

Lineups

FC RostovLokomotiv
0.9
Goals/game
0.8
1.2
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

FC Rostov win
44%
Draw
27%
Lokomotiv win
29%
40%BTTS
32.3%Over 2.5
36.8%FC Rostov clean sheet
36.8%Lokomotiv clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a competitive matchup between FC Rostov and Lokomotiv, with both teams showing inconsistent scoring patterns. Historically, their recent encounters have often resulted in draws, hinting at a closely contested match. Rostov's slight edge from their recent home performances may position them favorably, but Lokomotiv's strong historical record against them cannot be overlooked.

  • FC Rostov has not lost their last three home matches against Lokomotiv.
  • Both teams have struggled to score, with Rostov averaging 0.9 goals and Lokomotiv 0.7 in their last 10 matches.
  • Recent head-to-head matches have often ended in draws, indicating competitive parity.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
66/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FC Rostov

  • Sharper attackFC Rostov

    FC Rostov are averaging 0.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game
  • Tighter defenseFC Rostov

    FC Rostov are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked FC Rostov at 44% — final result was FC Rostov win, FC Rostov 1-0 Lokomotiv.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

FC Rostov2.21market 45.2% · model 44%
Lokomotiv3.15market 31.7% · model 29%
Draw3.36market 29.7% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FC Rostov have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Lokomotiv have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1FC Rostov wins
3Draws
4Lokomotiv wins
11-14Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

FC Rostov2.21best 2.36
Draw3.36best 3.58
Lokomotiv3.15best 3.36

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.86best 1.87
Under 2.51.94best 2.01

Both teams to score

Yes1.67best 1.69
No2.09best 2.12

Double chance

FC Rostov/Draw1.35best 1.37
FC Rostov/Lokomotiv1.30best 1.33
Draw/Lokomotiv1.61best 1.72

Average and best price across 6 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FC Rostov2.21 0.67
Draw3.36 0.18
Lokomotiv3.15 0.70
15 Aug18 Aug

Model vs market

FC Rostov win+1.6pp
AI
44%
Market
42.4%
Draw-0.9pp
AI
27%
Market
27.9%
Lokomotiv win-0.7pp
AI
29%
Market
29.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game0.8
1.2Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

FC Rostov

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
100%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Lokomotiv

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

More Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv?+

Our AI model favors FC Rostov to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 27%, Lokomotiv 29%).

What time does FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 18, 2026, 5:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).