FC ST. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol

UEFA Europa Conference League· 3rd Qualifying Round
DDWLGoals 17-13
DWDWGoals 16-6
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 1'D. Besio (Lukas Görtler)
  2. 10'D. Forov
  3. 27'Lukas Daschner
  4. 35'A. Hunziker (D. Besio)
  5. 36'B. Ciss
  6. 46'Lukas Daschner (Mihailo Stevanovic)
  7. 46'C. Kleine-Bekel (J. Ruiz)
  8. 48'A. Pergjoni
  9. 49'Rai
  10. 53'A. Pergjoni
  11. 58'J. Pineda (Konan Varvar)
  12. 58'D. Forov (V. Fratea)
  13. 59'A. Hunziker
  14. 60'E. Owusu (C. Witzig)
  15. 62'B. Ciss (S. Magassouba)
  16. 66'A. Hunziker (Aliou Balde)
  17. 73'A. Pergjoni (S. Kone)
  18. 73'Sapata (V. Nihaev)
  19. 74'L. Frokaj (Corsin Konietzke)
  20. 76'D. Besio (Corsin Konietzke)
  21. 82'S. Kone
  22. 87'Mihailo Stevanovic
Lineups unavailable for this match.
FC ST. GallenSheriff Tiraspol
1.7
Goals/game
1.6
1.3
Conceded/game
0.6

AI match analysis

FC ST. Gallen win
73%
Draw
16%
Sheriff Tiraspol win
11%
52.3%BTTS
48.2%Over 2.5
23.5%FC ST. Gallen clean sheet
31.7%Sheriff Tiraspol clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that FC St. Gallen has shown stronger recent form, especially at home, where they remain unbeaten in their last three matches. In contrast, Sheriff Tiraspol has struggled on the road, suffering three losses in their last five matches. Combining these performance metrics, the analysis leans towards a competitive fixture, with FC St. Gallen favored to secure a narrow victory.

  • FC St. Gallen unbeaten in last 3 home matches
  • Sheriff Tiraspol has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
  • FC St. Gallen averages 1.6 goals scored per match in last 10 games
  • Sheriff Tiraspol averages only 1 goal scored per match in last 10 games
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FC ST. Gallen

  • Sharper attackFC ST. Gallen

    FC ST. Gallen are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game
  • Strong recent formSheriff Tiraspol

    Sheriff Tiraspol are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.

    3W 2D 0L
  • Tighter defenseFC ST. Gallen

    FC ST. Gallen are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked FC ST. Gallen at 73% — final result was FC ST. Gallen win, FC ST. Gallen 5-1 Sheriff Tiraspol.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

FC ST. Gallen1.26market 79.1% · model 73%
Draw5.48market 18.3% · model 16%
Sheriff Tiraspol9.09market 11% · model 11%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FC ST. Gallen have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Sheriff Tiraspol have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

FC ST. Gallen1.26best 1.32
Draw5.48best 6.13
Sheriff Tiraspol9.09best 11.40

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.46best 1.54
Under 2.52.52best 2.72

Both teams to score

Yes1.84best 1.92
No1.86best 1.91

Double chance

FC ST. Gallen/Draw1.05best 1.09
FC ST. Gallen/Sheriff Tiraspol1.11best 1.14
Draw/Sheriff Tiraspol3.51best 3.90

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.06best 1.06
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes8.00best 8.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.73best 1.73
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.00best 2.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FC ST. Gallen1.26 0.04
Draw5.48 0.27
Sheriff Tiraspol9.09 2.59
12 Aug13 Aug

Model vs market

FC ST. Gallen win0pp
AI
73%
Market
73%
Draw-0.8pp
AI
16%
Market
16.8%
Sheriff Tiraspol win+0.9pp
AI
11%
Market
10.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game1.6
1.3Goals conceded per game0.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

J. Weinberger

3.92Yellow cards / game
0.21Red cards / game
0.17Penalties scored / game

Based on 24 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Sheriff Tiraspol

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
60%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
20%

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FC ST. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol?+

Our AI model favors FC ST. Gallen to win, with a 73% probability (Draw 16%, Sheriff Tiraspol 11%).

What time does FC ST. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).