Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham
Match events
- 30'Rhys Bennett
- 41'Kadeem Harris
- 58'J. Brophy
- 70'Kadeem Harris (C. McManus)
- 72'R. Cirino (D. Andrew)
- 73'W. Davies (A. Loupalo-Bi)
- 73'Andy Cannon (C. McLean)
- 84'R. Hale (S. Kendall)
- 84'J. Brophy (Cameron Antwi)
- 88'Robbie McKenzie (H. Waldock)
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 2.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
Data suggests that Fleetwood Town enters this match with a recent winning form, having secured two victories against Chesterfield. Conversely, Gillingham has struggled significantly, suffering defeats in their last five contests, leading to a -3 goal difference. The numbers favor Fleetwood Town, who also have a better scoring average and home advantage. Historically, their recent head-to-head encounters show a competitive balance, but current form favors Fleetwood.
- Fleetwood Town on a two-match winning streak
- Gillingham lost last 5 matches with a -3 goal difference
- Fleetwood Town scored 1.2 goals and conceded 1.2 in last 10 matches
- Gillingham averages only 0.9 goals scored and 2.2 conceded in last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Fleetwood Town
- Higher league positionFleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town sit 12 places above Gillingham in the table.
#9 vs #21 - Strong recent formFleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L - Poor recent formGillingham
Gillingham have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Tighter defenseFleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Fleetwood Town at 50% — final result was a draw, Fleetwood Town 0-0 Gillingham.
Predicted score was 1-0.
This was a high confidence pick (87/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Fleetwood Town have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Gillingham have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Gillingham
Fleetwood TownFleetwood TownGillinghamGillinghamFleetwood TownFleetwood TownGillinghamGillinghamFleetwood TownFleetwood TownGillinghamFleetwood TownGillinghamGillinghamFleetwood TownOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fleetwood Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | DW |
| 21 | Gillingham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | DL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
D. Baines
Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Fleetwood Town
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NorthamptonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?+
Our AI model favors Fleetwood Town to win, with a 50% probability (Draw 25%, Gillingham 25%).
What time does Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).