Gent vs IFK Goteborg

UEFA Europa Conference League· 3rd Qualifying Round
Gent
11Full-time
IFK Goteborg
WWWDGoals 6-11
WWLDGoals 12-11
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 27'M. Volckaert (T. Araujo)
  2. 35'Alexander Jallow
  3. 41'Tobias Heintz (Tiago Coimbra)
  4. 46'Alexander Jallow (Felix Eriksson)
  5. 60'Oliver Månsson (K. Thordarson)
  6. 65'Hyllarion Goore (M. Sonko)
  7. 65'L. Bénes (A. Kadri)
  8. 76'M. Delorge (Leo da Silva Lopes)
  9. 84'A. Bergmark-Wiberg (Saidou Alioum Moubarak)
  10. 84'Sam Larsson (Filip Ottosson)
  11. 85'Saidou Alioum Moubarak (David Kruse)
  12. 89'Tibe De Vlieger
  13. 90+2'A. Erlingmark

Lineups

GentIFK Goteborg
0.6
Goals/game
1.2
1.1
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Gent win
63.97%
Draw
21.08%
IFK Goteborg win
14.95%
39.1%BTTS
32.3%Over 2.5
31.7%Gent clean sheet
42.7%IFK Goteborg clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests that Gent will be favored in this matchup, having not lost in their last three home games. Their recent scoring struggles with an average of only 0.4 goals per game could play a significant role against an IFK Goteborg side that has had some success recently, winning three of their last four. However, Gent's home advantage and Goteborg’s lesser away form suggest a tight contest, possibly favoring a narrow home victory.

  • Gent unbeaten in last 3 home games
  • IFK Goteborg won 3 of their last 4 matches
  • Gent has a low scoring average of 0.4 goals in the last 5 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Gent

  • Good recent formGent

    Gent have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Sharper attackIFK Goteborg

    IFK Goteborg are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game
  • Tighter defenseIFK Goteborg

    IFK Goteborg are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Gent at 63.97% — final result was a draw, Gent 1-1 IFK Goteborg.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Gent1.50market 66.5% · model 63.97%
Draw4.11market 24.4% · model 21.08%
IFK Goteborg5.70market 17.5% · model 14.95%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Gent have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • IFK Goteborg have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Gent1.50best 1.55
Draw4.11best 4.35
IFK Goteborg5.70best 6.40

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.73best 1.78
Under 2.52.04best 2.12

Both teams to score

Yes1.80best 1.89
No1.89best 1.95

Double chance

Gent/Draw1.11best 1.17
Gent/IFK Goteborg1.18best 1.23
Draw/IFK Goteborg2.45best 2.53

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.57best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25best 2.25
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.12best 1.12
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.50best 5.50

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Gent1.50 0.02
Draw4.11 0.39
IFK Goteborg5.70 0.70
12 Aug13 Aug

Model vs market

Gent win+2.6pp
AI
63.97%
Market
61.4%
Draw-1.4pp
AI
21.08%
Market
22.5%
IFK Goteborg win-1.2pp
AI
14.95%
Market
16.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

0.6Goals scored per game1.2
1.1Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

G. Correia

5Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Gent

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

IFK Goteborg

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
100%
76-90+'
0%

Match statistics

51%Possession49%
Expected goals (xG)
4Shots on target2
Total shots
4Shots off target4
2Blocked shots1
Shots inside the box
Shots outside the box
7Corners3
2Offsides1
9Fouls7
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeper saves
Total passes
Accurate passes
%Pass accuracy%

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Gent vs IFK Goteborg?+

Our AI model favors Gent to win, with a 63.97% probability (Draw 21.08%, IFK Goteborg 14.95%).

What time does Gent vs IFK Goteborg kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).