Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco
Value found
+0.8% edgeMonaco win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 9'Mika Biereth (Mathys Detourbet)
- 38'Mathys Detourbet
- 51'Lamine Camara
- 53'E. Prekop (E. Janža)
- 55'Vanderson (J. Teze)
- 55'Mathys Detourbet (A. Soubeir)
- 58'P. Brunner (Stanis Idumbo Muzambo)
- 62'A. Soubeir
- 67'L. Sadílek (K. Urbanski)
- 67'E. Prekop (Sondre Liseth)
- 70'M. Dietz
- 74'Sondre Liseth (Paulo Bernardo)
- 76'Peter González (B. Durdov)
- 80'Christian Mawissa (Nazinho)
- 81'Mika Biereth (O. Konate)
- 81'Paulo Bernardo (Janis Antiste)
- 89'Denis Zakaria (Safouane Benzahra)
- 1.9
- Goals/game
- 1.7
- 0.6
- Conceded/game
- 2.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-3
Data suggests that Gornik Zabrze is performing well at home, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches. However, Monaco's recent defensive struggles, particularly their high goals conceded rate, may impact their performance, despite their ability to score. The numbers favor Monaco based on their higher scoring average and recent form against stronger competition.
- Gornik Zabrze unbeaten in last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws)
- Monaco has conceded an average of 2.1 goals per game in last 10 matches
- Historical form favors Monaco, with recent away win against a strong opponent (Liverpool)
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Monaco
- Strong recent formGornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.
4W 1D 0L - Poor recent formMonaco
Monaco have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Tighter defenseGornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.6/game conceded - Sharper attackGornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Monaco at 57% — final result was Monaco win, Gornik Zabrze 2-3 Monaco.
Predicted score was 2-3.
This was a high confidence pick (76/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Gornik Zabrze have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Monaco have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Gornik Zabrze
Monaco
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TwenteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco?+
Our AI model favors Monaco to win, with a 57% probability (Draw 21%, Gornik Zabrze 22%).
What time does Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).