Grimsby vs Exeter City
Match events
- 23'J. Doyle-Hayes
- 35'H. Rodgers (C. Vernam)
- 43'C. McJannett
- 58'J. Doyle-Hayes (J. Gordon)
- 58'A. Oluwabori (L. Samuel)
- 59'Vincent Harper (Gwion Edwards)
- 68'C. Doyle (I. Morgan)
- 68'J. Amaluzor (R. Reynolds)
- 74'A. Cook (Josh Andrews)
- 81'Taylor Perry (G. Birch)
- 84'Kieran Green (J. Walker)
- 1.9
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The statistics indicate a slight edge for Grimsby based on their last home performance, where they secured a convincing 4-0 victory. Although Exeter City has a stronger recent head-to-head record, their defensive frailties, reflected in conceding 1.6 goals per game, may lead to challenges. The numbers favor a close contest, but Grimsby may capitalize on their home advantage.
- Grimsby won 4-0 in their last home game against Swindon Town.
- Historically, Exeter City has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Grimsby.
- Exeter City has averaged 1.2 goals but conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Grimsby
- Sharper attackGrimsby
Grimsby are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game - Historical edgeExeter City
Exeter City have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionGrimsby
Grimsby sit 5 places above Exeter City in the table.
#8 vs #13 - Tighter defenseGrimsby
Grimsby are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Grimsby at 52.59% — final result was Grimsby win, Grimsby 1-0 Exeter City.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (90/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Grimsby have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Exeter City have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Exeter City
GrimsbyGrimsbyExeter CityGrimsbyExeter CityExeter CityGrimsbyExeter CityGrimsbyGrimsbyExeter CityGrimsbyExeter CityExeter CityGrimsbyOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grimsby | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Exeter City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Exeter City
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NorthamptonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Grimsby vs Exeter City?+
Our AI model favors Grimsby to win, with a 52.59% probability (Draw 24.85%, Exeter City 22.56%).
What time does Grimsby vs Exeter City kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).