Hiroshima Carp vs Chunichi Dragons
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hiroshima Carp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
 Chunichi Dragons | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Data suggests a favorable scenario for the Hiroshima Carp as they hold a strong recent track record against the Chunichi Dragons, winning 4 of their last 5 encounters. The Carp's solid home win rate of 55% also reinforces their competitive edge in this matchup, especially given Chunichi's struggles away from home. While the Dragons' recent offensive output averages 2.9 runs per game, the Carp has shown slightly stronger performance, indicating a possible edge in scoring.
- Hiroshima Carp has won 4 of the last 5 matchups against Chunichi Dragons.
- The Carp has a home win rate of 55% this season.
- Chunichi Dragons has struggled on the road with a win rate of only 40%.
- In their last 10 games, Hiroshima scored an average of 3.2 runs while allowing 5 runs per game.
Confidence is moderate because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Hiroshima Carp
- Historical edgeHiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
5/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formHiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Poor recent formChunichi Dragons
Chunichi Dragons have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Strong home recordHiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp have won 10 of their last 20 home matches.
10/20 home wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 56% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Hiroshima Carp at 56% — final result was Hiroshima Carp win, Hiroshima Carp 2-1 Chunichi Dragons.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Match trends
- Hiroshima Carp have averaged 2.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chunichi Dragons have averaged 2.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hiroshima Carp are unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 meetings with Chunichi Dragons.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 | Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 | Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Hiroshima Carp vs Chunichi Dragons?+
Our AI model favors Hiroshima Carp to win, with a 56% probability (Chunichi Dragons 44%).
What time does Hiroshima Carp vs Chunichi Dragons start?+
First pitch is at Aug 20, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Hiroshima Carp vs Chunichi Dragons?+
Hiroshima Carp: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1. Chunichi Dragons: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 2-1.