Hiroshima Carp vs Hanshin Tigers
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hiroshima Carp | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — | 6 | 13 | 0 |
 Hanshin Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-5
The numbers favor the Hanshin Tigers in this matchup, especially given their strong away win rate of 67% this season compared to the Carp's struggles. Hiroshima has faltered significantly in their last 10 games, scoring only 1.8 runs on average, while Hanshin has maintained a more robust offense, averaging 3.4 runs. Overall, this context suggests a likely victory for the Tigers.
- Hanshin Tigers have a 67% away win rate this season.
- Hiroshima Carp have lost 9 of their last 10 games, averaging just 1.8 runs scored per game.
- Historically, Hanshin Tigers have dominated their recent matchups against Hiroshima Carp, winning 7 of the last 10 encounters.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Hanshin Tigers
- Tighter defenseHanshin Tigers
Hanshin Tigers are conceding just 2.3 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.3/game conceded - Historical edgeHanshin Tigers
Hanshin Tigers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formHiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formHanshin Tigers
Hanshin Tigers have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Hanshin Tigers at 69% — final result was Hiroshima Carp win, Hiroshima Carp 6-1 Hanshin Tigers.
Predicted score was 2-5.
This was a high confidence pick (96/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Hiroshima Carp have averaged 2.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hanshin Tigers have averaged 2.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hiroshima Carp are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Hanshin Tigers.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Hiroshima Carp | Hanshin Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.90 | 1.36 |
| +0.5 | 2.63 | 1.44 |
| +1 | 2.25 | 1.54 |
| +1.5 | 1.91 | 1.83 |
| +2 | 1.71 | 2.02 |
| +2.5 | 1.56 | 2.27 |
| +3 | 1.43 | 2.55 |
| +3.5 | 1.33 | 3.18 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.32 | 2.88 |
| 5.5 | 1.57 | 2.29 |
| 6 | 1.66 | 2.09 |
| 6.5 | 1.83 | 1.90 |
| 7 | 2.04 | 1.71 |
| 7.5 | 2.30 | 1.55 |
| 8 | 2.55 | 1.44 |
| 8.5 | 2.58 | 1.48 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hanshin Tigers | 117 | 67 | 50 | +71 | 57 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 119 | 63 | 56 | +25 | 53 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 118 | 54 | 64 | +7 | 46 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 117 | 52 | 65 | -75 | 44 | — |
| 5 | Hiroshima Carp | 114 | 47 | 67 | -78 | 41 | — |
| 6 |  Chunichi Dragons | 121 | 51 | 70 | -8 | 42 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 118 | 73 | 45 | +183 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 121 | 69 | 52 | +41 | 57 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 121 | 67 | 54 | +67 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 120 | 57 | 63 | -73 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 115 | 52 | 63 | -74 | 45 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 117 | 45 | 72 | -86 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Yakult SwallowsHanshin TigersRakuten Gold. EaglesOrix BuffaloesYomiuri GiantsYokohama BayStarsChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Hiroshima Carp vs Hanshin Tigers?+
Our AI model favors Hanshin Tigers to win, with a 69% probability (Hiroshima Carp 31%).
What time does Hiroshima Carp vs Hanshin Tigers start?+
First pitch is at Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Hiroshima Carp vs Hanshin Tigers?+
Hiroshima Carp: 0, 1, 1, 1, 2, 0, 0, 1. Hanshin Tigers: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0. Final: 6-1.