Hiroshima Carp vs Hanshin Tigers
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hiroshima Carp | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 10 | 1 |
 Hanshin Tigers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-5
The data suggests a competitive matchup, but the numbers favor the Hanshin Tigers, who lead the Central Division and have a superior recent form. The Hiroshima Carp struggle on offense, averaging only 2 runs scored in their last 10 games, while the Tigers score more consistently. Given their home win rate and historical performance in recent encounters, Hiroshima may put up a fight, but Hanshin's overall success this season suggests a likely victory.
- Hiroshima Carp have a home win rate of 50% this season.
- Hanshin Tigers rank 1st in the Central Division with a 0.563 win percentage.
- In their last 10 games, Hiroshima Carp averaged only 2 runs scored and allowed 5.6 runs per game.
- Hanshin Tigers have a stronger recent form, winning 6 of their last 10 games.],
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Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Hanshin Tigers
- Tighter defenseHanshin Tigers
Hanshin Tigers are conceding just 2.4 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.4/game conceded - Historical edgeHanshin Tigers
Hanshin Tigers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionHanshin Tigers
Hanshin Tigers sit 5 places above Hiroshima Carp in the table.
#1 vs #6 - Poor recent formHiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Hanshin Tigers at 61% — final result was Hiroshima Carp win, Hiroshima Carp 5-2 Hanshin Tigers.
Predicted score was 3-5.
This was a high confidence pick (83/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Hiroshima Carp have averaged 2.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hanshin Tigers have averaged 2.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hiroshima Carp are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Hanshin Tigers.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Hiroshima Carp | Hanshin Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 3.04 | 1.30 |
| -0.5 | 2.28▲ | 1.57▼ |
| +0.5 | 2.12▼ | 1.65▲ |
| +1 | 1.88 | 1.78 |
| +1.5 | 1.69▲ | 2.09▼ |
| +2 | 1.52▲ | 2.37▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.43▲ | 2.68▼ |
| +3 | 1.30 | 3.11 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.46▲ | 2.53▼ |
| 6 | 1.54▲ | 2.33▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.70▲ | 2.07▼ |
| 7 | 1.86▲ | 1.85▼ |
| 7.5 | 2.10▲ | 1.66▼ |
| 8 | 2.35▲ | 1.53▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.56▲ | 1.47▼ |
| 9 | 2.88 | 1.37 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hanshin Tigers | 116 | 66 | 50 | +69 | 57 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 118 | 63 | 55 | +27 | 53 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 117 | 53 | 64 | +6 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 116 | 52 | 64 | -71 | 45 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 120 | 51 | 69 | -7 | 43 | — |
| 6 | Hiroshima Carp | 113 | 46 | 67 | -82 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 117 | 72 | 45 | +180 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 120 | 68 | 52 | +38 | 57 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 120 | 66 | 54 | +66 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 119 | 57 | 62 | -70 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 114 | 52 | 62 | -73 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 116 | 45 | 71 | -83 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Yakult SwallowsHanshin TigersRakuten Gold. EaglesOrix BuffaloesYomiuri GiantsYokohama BayStarsChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Hiroshima Carp vs Hanshin Tigers?+
Our AI model favors Hanshin Tigers to win, with a 61% probability (Hiroshima Carp 39%).
What time does Hiroshima Carp vs Hanshin Tigers start?+
First pitch is at Aug 15, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Hiroshima Carp vs Hanshin Tigers?+
Hiroshima Carp: 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0. Hanshin Tigers: 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 5-2.