Houston Astros vs Athletics
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — | 4 | 9 | 1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-4
Data suggests the Athletics have shown a stronger scoring average recently compared to the struggling Astros defense. Historically, their matchups have been competitive with recent averages favoring high-scoring outcomes. The numbers indicate the Astros may find it challenging to secure a win given their current form.
- Astros have lost 4 of their last 5 home games
- Athletics have averaged 4.7 runs scored in their last 10 games
- Astros' recent form shows an average of 3.5 runs scored and 5.8 conceded per match
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Houston Astros
- Historical edgeAthletics
Athletics have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Houston Astros at 56.38% — final result was Houston Astros win, Houston Astros 4-0 Athletics.
Predicted score was 3-4.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Houston Astros have averaged 4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Athletics have averaged 4.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Houston Astros are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Athletics.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Houston Astros | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 3.52 | 1.28 |
| -3 | 3.13 | 1.35 |
| -2.5 | 2.66 | 1.45 |
| -2 | 2.39 | 1.55 |
| -1.5 | 2.13 | 1.73 |
| -1 | 1.72 | 2.09 |
| +1 | 1.36 | 3.07 |
| +1.5 | 1.30 | 3.38 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.42 | 2.77 |
| 7 | 1.51 | 2.47 |
| 7.5 | 1.71 | 2.09 |
| 8 | 1.83 | 1.93 |
| 8.5 | 1.99 | 1.83 |
| 9 | 2.26 | 1.61 |
| 9.5 | 2.49 | 1.51 |
| 10 | 2.81 | 1.39 |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
More MLB predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Houston Astros vs Athletics?+
Our AI model favors Houston Astros to win, with a 56.38% probability (Athletics 43.62%).
What time does Houston Astros vs Athletics start?+
First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 12:10 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Houston Astros vs Athletics?+
Houston Astros: 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 0, 1, 0. Athletics: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 4-0.

