Houston Astros vs Athletics

MLB
WLWWRuns 40-521st in AL West Division · 66-67
LWWLRuns 43-514th in AL West Division · 53-81
Home8W 12L(82-109)
Away8W 12L(90-99)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Houston Astros
00012010491
Athletics
000000000030

AI match analysis

Houston Astros win
56.38%
Athletics win
33.78%

Predicted score: 3-4

Data suggests the Athletics have shown a stronger scoring average recently compared to the struggling Astros defense. Historically, their matchups have been competitive with recent averages favoring high-scoring outcomes. The numbers indicate the Astros may find it challenging to secure a win given their current form.

  • Astros have lost 4 of their last 5 home games
  • Athletics have averaged 4.7 runs scored in their last 10 games
  • Astros' recent form shows an average of 3.5 runs scored and 5.8 conceded per match
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
72/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Houston Astros

  • Historical edgeAthletics

    Athletics have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Houston Astros at 56.38% — final result was Houston Astros win, Houston Astros 4-0 Athletics.

Predicted score was 3-4.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Houston Astros1.52market 66% · model 56.38%
Athletics2.57market 38.9% · model 33.78%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Houston Astros have averaged 4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Athletics have averaged 4.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Houston Astros are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Athletics.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Houston Astros1.52best 1.57AI 56.38%
Athletics2.57best 2.67AI 33.78%

Point spread

LineHouston AstrosAthletics
-3.53.521.28
-33.131.35
-2.52.661.45
-22.391.55
-1.52.131.73
-11.722.09
+11.363.07
+1.51.303.38

Total points

LineOverUnder
6.51.422.77
71.512.47
7.51.712.09
81.831.93
8.51.991.83
92.261.61
9.52.491.51
102.811.39

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Model vs market

Houston Astros win-6.5pp
AI
56.38%
Market
62.9%
Athletics win-3.3pp
AI
33.78%
Market
37.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Houston Astros wins
4Athletics wins
21-27Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
2
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
3
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
4
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
1
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
2
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
3
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
4
Athletics
1345381-18540
5
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
5
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
6
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
7
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
10
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
11
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
12
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
14
Athletics
1345381-18540
15
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
5
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
1
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
3
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
4
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
5
New York Mets
1336073-4645
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
4
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
5
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
4
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
6
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
8
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
11
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
12
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
13
New York Mets
1336073-4645
14
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
15
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Houston Astros vs Athletics?+

Our AI model favors Houston Astros to win, with a 56.38% probability (Athletics 43.62%).

What time does Houston Astros vs Athletics start?+

First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 12:10 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Houston Astros vs Athletics?+

Houston Astros: 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 0, 1, 0. Athletics: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 4-0.