Houston Astros vs Athletics
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Historically, the Athletics have performed well against the Astros, winning 4 of their last 5 matches between the two teams. Recent form suggests that while the Astros have struggled defensively, the Athletics have also been inconsistent, which could lead to another competitive game. The numbers favor the Astros slightly at home, but the Athletics' head-to-head success cannot be overlooked.
- Astros have a mixed recent form with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games against the Athletics.
- Athletics have won 4 of the last 5 encounters with the Astros, showing strong historical dominance.
- Both teams are allowing more runs than they score on average over their last 10 games.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Houston Astros
- Poor recent formHouston Astros
Houston Astros have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formAthletics
Athletics have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Historical edgeAthletics
Athletics have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Houston Astros at 56.94% — final result was Athletics win, Houston Astros 6-7 Athletics.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Houston Astros have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Athletics have averaged 4.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Houston Astros are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Athletics.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Houston Astros | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 3.55▲ | 1.28▼ |
| -3 | 3.07▲ | 1.36 |
| -2.5 | 2.65▲ | 1.46▼ |
| -2 | 2.38▲ | 1.57 |
| -1.5 | 2.11 | 1.74 |
| -1 | 1.74 | 2.08▲ |
| +1 | 1.38▼ | 2.99▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.32 | 3.29 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 1.58▲ | 2.35▼ |
| 8 | 1.65▲ | 2.20▼ |
| 8.5 | 1.82▲ | 2.01▼ |
| 9 | 1.96▲ | 1.82▼ |
| 9.5 | 2.20▲ | 1.64▼ |
| 10 | 2.44▲ | 1.53▼ |
| 10.5 | 2.53▲ | 1.50▼ |
| 11 | 2.83 | 1.39 |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
More MLB predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Houston Astros vs Athletics?+
Our AI model favors Houston Astros to win, with a 56.94% probability (Athletics 43.06%).
What time does Houston Astros vs Athletics start?+
First pitch is at Aug 23, 2026, 6:10 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Houston Astros vs Athletics?+
Houston Astros: 3, 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Athletics: 0, 0, 0, 0, 6, 0, 1, 0, 0. Final: 6-7.

