Inverness CT vs Partick

Championship· Regular Season - 3
Inverness CT
11Full-time
Partick
WLDLGoals 14-227th in league
WDLLGoals 10-93rd in league
Home0W 2D 0L(1-1)
Away1W 1D 0L(2-1)
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness · Capacity 7,918 · grass · Referee: C. Graham

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 17'S. Drozd (A. Fitzpatrick)
  2. 41'A. Stewart
  3. 43'Oisin Smyth
  4. 46'B. McPherson (E. Ingram)
  5. 63'S. Drozd (Gary Mackay-Steven)
  6. 63'B. Stanway (R. Crawford)
  7. 68'L. Sole (M. Bates)
  8. 70'T. Letsosa (B. Dempsey)
  9. 74'A. Samuel (T. Watt)
  10. 77'A. Mackinnon (P. Allan)
  11. 77'Ryan Duncan (Daniel MacKay)
  12. 82'Gary Mackay-Steven
  13. 85'C. MacLeod (K. Smith)
  14. 85'N. Boutin (L. Longstaff)
  15. 89'A. Bavidge (P. Allan)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Inverness CTPartick
1.4
Goals/game
1.0
2.2
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Inverness CT win
36%
Draw
27%
Partick win
37%
54.5%BTTS
51.9%Over 2.5
20.2%Inverness CT clean sheet
31.7%Partick clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Partick is in stronger form, having won both of their matches this season, while Inverness CT has struggled, drawing their opening home game. The recent head-to-head history also favors Partick, highlighting their unbeaten record against Inverness in their last five encounters. Given these factors, the predicted score leans slightly in favor of Partick.

  • Partick unbeaten in last 5 meetings with Inverness CT
  • Inverness CT has conceded an average of 2.2 goals in their last 10 matches
  • Partick has a strong away record with 1 win from 1 match this season
  • Inverness CT is currently ranked 7th vs Partick's 1st in the league standings.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
67/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Partick

  • Weak home recordInverness CT

    Inverness CT have won 0 of their last 2 home matches.

    0/2 home wins
  • Strong away recordPartick

    Partick have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.

    1/2 away wins
  • Tighter defensePartick

    Partick are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game conceded
  • Higher league positionPartick

    Partick sit 4 places above Inverness CT in the table.

    #3 vs #7

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Partick at 37% — final result was a draw, Inverness CT 1-1 Partick.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Inverness CT2.49market 40.1% · model 36%
Partick2.55market 39.2% · model 37%
Draw3.31market 30.2% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Inverness CT have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Partick have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Inverness CT wins
3Draws
3Partick wins
8-14Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Inverness CT2.49best 2.63
Draw3.31best 3.47
Partick2.55best 2.70

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.78best 1.91
Under 2.51.96best 2.08

Both teams to score

Yes1.61best 1.70
No2.17best 2.25

Double chance

Inverness CT/Draw1.44best 1.50
Inverness CT/Partick1.27best 1.30
Draw/Partick1.46best 1.55

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Inverness CT2.49 0.01
Draw3.31 0.09
Partick2.55 0.03
18 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

Inverness CT win-0.6pp
AI
36%
Market
36.6%
Draw-0.6pp
AI
27%
Market
27.6%
Partick win+1.2pp
AI
37%
Market
35.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
Inverness CT
303003DDD
3
Partick
3210+37DWW

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game1
2.2Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

C. Graham

2.67Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.17Penalties scored / game

Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Inverness CT

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
100%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Inverness CT vs Partick?+

Our AI model favors Partick to win, with a 37% probability (Draw 27%, Inverness CT 36%).

Where is Inverness CT vs Partick played?+

The match is played at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness (capacity 7,918).

What time does Inverness CT vs Partick kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).