Jaguares vs Chico

Primera A· Clausura - 6
Jaguares
10Full-time
Chico
LDLDGoals 8-1815th in league
LLLDGoals 6-1518th in league
Home1W 1D 1L(2-4)
Away0W 1D 9L(2-27)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 4'R. Bustamante
  2. 10'R. Bustamante (C. Álvarez)
  3. 26'F. Mosquera
  4. 27'S. Navarro (Cristián Mosquera)
  5. 35'Wilfrido De la Rosa
  6. 46'Wilfrido De la Rosa (J. Mejia)
  7. 46'Yesus Cabrera (F. Cifuentes)
  8. 51'R. Bustamante (J. Hinestroza)
  9. 58'Cristián Mosquera
  10. 61'Andrés Rentería (D. López)
  11. 61'Jáder Maza (F. A. Gil Mosquera)
  12. 63'I. Camargo (S. Viveros)
  13. 63'S. Salazar (Jacobo Pimentel)
  14. 73'J. Hinestroza
  15. 79'C. Álvarez (C. Cantillo)
  16. 85'C. Henao
  17. 89'Cristian Blanco (Jhonier Alomía)
  18. 89'F. Cifuentes
  19. 90+4'J. Palma
  20. 90+4'F. A. Gil Mosquera
  21. 90'J. Mejia

Lineups

JaguaresChico
0.8
Goals/game
0.6
1.8
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Jaguares win
52%
Draw
29%
Chico win
19%
47.8%BTTS
41.7%Over 2.5
30.1%Jaguares clean sheet
31.7%Chico clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests that Jaguares have some momentum despite their recent form, having drawn against stronger opponents recently. Chico, on the other hand, is struggling significantly, currently without a point and having lost all of their away matches this season. The historical head-to-head also favors Jaguares, where they have secured favorable outcomes in recent meetings.

  • Jaguares have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches
  • Chico has lost their last 4 matches
  • Historically, Jaguares have had the edge in their last 5 encounters against Chico
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
86/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Jaguares

  • Higher league positionJaguares

    Jaguares sit 3 places above Chico in the table.

    #15 vs #18
  • Sharper attackJaguares

    Jaguares are averaging 0.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game
  • Tighter defenseChico

    Chico are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Jaguares at 52% — final result was Jaguares win, Jaguares 1-0 Chico.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (86/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Jaguares1.84market 54.5% · model 52%
Draw3.20market 31.3% · model 29%
Chico4.59market 21.8% · model 19%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Jaguares have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Chico have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Jaguares wins
1Draws
4Chico wins
5-5Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Jaguares1.84best 1.90
Draw3.20best 3.30
Chico4.59best 5.30

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.29best 2.38
Under 2.51.58best 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes2.06best 2.10
No1.68best 1.73

Double chance

Jaguares/Draw1.18best 1.20
Jaguares/Chico1.30best 1.36
Draw/Chico1.89best 2.00

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.65best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.65best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.13best 2.15

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Jaguares1.84 0.06
Draw3.20 0.06
Chico4.59 0.40
18 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

Jaguares win+1.3pp
AI
52%
Market
50.7%
Draw-0.1pp
AI
29%
Market
29.1%
Chico win-1.3pp
AI
19%
Market
20.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
15
Jaguares
5113-54DLLL
18
Chico
195212-1717LLLW

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game0.6
1.8Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Jaguares

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
100%
76-90+'
0%

More Primera A predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Jaguares vs Chico?+

Our AI model favors Jaguares to win, with a 52% probability (Draw 29%, Chico 19%).

What time does Jaguares vs Chico kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 9:05 PM (your local time, based on your device).