Livingston vs Dunfermline — Championship

Championship· Regular Season - 3

Livingston

2–0Full-time

Dunfermline

DDDLDLGoals 10-174th in league

DLDLDLGoals 9-108th in league

Home2W 0D 0L(4-0)

Away0W 1D 1L(0-2)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

7'B. Iseni
45+1'Bradly Van Hoeven (Robbie Muirhead)
52'Emmanuel Danso
61'Adam Montgomery (J. Wilkie)
61'Emmanuel Danso (Cameron MacPherson)
65'A. Tod (J. Cooper)
72'Oli Shaw (O. Adams)
72'K. Bray (Z. Rudden)
74'Bradly Van Hoeven (T. Sinclair)
74'B. Iseni (Ryan McGowan)
83'C. Morrison (Chris Kane)
83'A. Amade (C. Gilmour)
88'Liam Polworth (S. May)
90'Robbie Muirhead (S. May)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

LivingstonDunfermline

1.0
Goals/game: 0.9; 1.7
Conceded/game: 1.0

AI match analysis

Livingston win

53%

Draw

25%

Dunfermline win

22%

46%BTTS

40.4%Over 2.5

27.3%Livingston clean sheet

36.8%Dunfermline clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

The data suggests a competitive match, with Livingston having the edge at home, particularly given their recent unbeaten streak against Dunfermline. Dunfermline's struggle for wins, combined with their low scoring average of 0.9 in their last 10 matches, hints at a tight contest. The numbers indicate a slight favor towards Livingston winning by a narrow margin.

Livingston unbeaten in last 5 home matches against Dunfermline
Dunfermline has not won in their last 5 matches
Livingston scored an average of 1 goal per game in their last 10 matches

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

90/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Livingston

Strong home recordLivingston
Livingston have won 2 of their last 2 home matches.
2/2 home wins
Weak away recordDunfermline
Dunfermline have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.
0/2 away wins
Tighter defenseDunfermline
Dunfermline are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded
Sharper attackLivingston
Livingston are averaging 1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Livingston at 53% — final result was Livingston win, Livingston 2-0 Dunfermline.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (90/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Livingston ✓1.75market 57.3% · model 53%

Draw3.58market 28% · model 25%

Dunfermline4.15market 24.1% · model 22%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Livingston have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Dunfermline have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Livingston wins

2Draws

4Dunfermline wins

4-8Goals

Dunfermline

1–0Apr 2, 2025, 6:45 PM

Livingston

0–0Feb 15, 2025, 3:00 PM

Dunfermline

3–0Oct 29, 2024, 7:45 PM

Livingston

2–0Aug 3, 2024, 2:00 PM

Dunfermline

Livingston

1–0Jul 20, 2024, 2:00 PM

Dunfermline

1–0Apr 3, 2018, 6:45 PM

Livingston

0–0Feb 10, 2018, 3:00 PM

Dunfermline

3–1Oct 21, 2017, 2:00 PM

Livingston

Odds comparison

Match winner

Livingston1.75best 1.79

Draw3.58▲best 3.91

Dunfermline4.15▼best 4.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.84▼best 1.93

Under 2.51.89▲best 2.00

Both teams to score

Yes1.76▼best 1.83

No1.93▲best 2.00

Double chance

Livingston/Draw1.18▲best 1.25

Livingston/Dunfermline1.24best 1.29

Draw/Dunfermline1.95best 2.05

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.50▼best 1.50

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.50▲best 2.50

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50best 4.50

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17best 1.17

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Livingston1.75▲ 0.02

Draw3.58▲ 0.06

Dunfermline4.15▼ 0.05

19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

Livingston win+0.6pp

53%

Market

52.4%

Draw-0.6pp

25%

Market

25.6%

Dunfermline win0pp

22%

Market

22%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.