Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami Marlins | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | — | 6 | 8 | 1 |
 Washington Nationals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
The data suggests a favorable outcome for the Miami Marlins, who have recently triumphed in their last five encounters against the Washington Nationals. With an impressive average of 4.1 goals scored in their last ten games, the Marlins have shown offensive strength, while the Nationals have struggled with inconsistent performance and a higher rate of goals conceded.
- Miami Marlins won 4 of the last 5 matches against Washington Nationals
- Miami Marlins have averaged 4.1 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches
- Washington Nationals have lost 4 of their last 5 matches against Miami Marlins
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Miami Marlins
- Historical edgeMiami Marlins
Miami Marlins have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formMiami Marlins
Miami Marlins have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Good recent formWashington Nationals
Washington Nationals have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Miami Marlins at 53% — final result was Miami Marlins win, Miami Marlins 6-2 Washington Nationals.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Miami Marlins have averaged 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Washington Nationals have averaged 4.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Miami Marlins are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Washington Nationals.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Miami Marlins | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 3.94▲ | 1.23▼ |
| -3 | 3.52▲ | 1.27▲ |
| -2.5 | 2.96▲ | 1.37 |
| -2 | 2.66▼ | 1.45▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.29▼ | 1.63 |
| -1 | 1.89▼ | 1.90▲ |
| +1 | 1.43▼ | 2.77▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.35▼ | 3.07▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.41▲ | 2.81▼ |
| 7 | 1.49▲ | 2.55▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.70▲ | 2.12▼ |
| 8 | 1.82 | 1.97▲ |
| 8.5 | 1.98▲ | 1.84▼ |
| 9 | 2.23▲ | 1.64 |
| 9.5 | 2.49▲ | 1.51▼ |
| 10 | 2.78 | 1.41 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Who is likely to win Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals?+
Our AI model favors Miami Marlins to win, with a 53% probability (Washington Nationals 47%).
What time does Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals start?+
First pitch is at Aug 23, 2026, 5:40 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals?+
Miami Marlins: 1, 0, 0, 0, 2, 2, 0, 1. Washington Nationals: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0. Final: 6-2.