Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami Marlins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
 Washington Nationals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-4
Data suggests a favorable matchup for the Miami Marlins, who have dominated the recent head-to-head history against the Washington Nationals, winning all five of the last encounters. The Marlins are also averaging 4 runs scored in their last 10 games while the Nationals struggle defensively, conceding 4.8 runs per game on average.
- Miami Marlins won 5 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Washington Nationals
- Miami Marlins have averaged 4 runs scored in their last 10 games
- Washington Nationals have conceded an average of 4.8 runs per game in their last 10 matches
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Miami Marlins
- Good recent formMiami Marlins
Miami Marlins have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formWashington Nationals
Washington Nationals have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Historical edgeMiami Marlins
Miami Marlins have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 50% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Miami Marlins at 50% — final result was Miami Marlins win, Miami Marlins 3-2 Washington Nationals.
Predicted score was 5-4.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (60/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Miami Marlins have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Washington Nationals have averaged 3.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Miami Marlins are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Washington Nationals.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Miami Marlins | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| -3 | 3.79▲ | 1.24▼ |
| -2.5 | 3.11▲ | 1.34▼ |
| -2 | 2.82▲ | 1.41 |
| -1.5 | 2.41▲ | 1.58▼ |
| -1 | 1.96▼ | 1.83▲ |
| +1 | 1.45▼ | 2.64▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.38▼ | 2.95▲ |
| +2 | 1.20▼ | 3.85▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.49▲ | 2.54▼ |
| 7 | 1.62▲ | 2.29▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.84▲ | 1.98▼ |
| 8 | 1.93▲ | 1.85▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.11▲ | 1.72▼ |
| 9 | 2.44▲ | 1.53▼ |
| 9.5 | 2.65▲ | 1.46▼ |
| 10 | 2.94▲ | 1.37▼ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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San Diego PadresFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals?+
Our AI model favors Miami Marlins to win, with a 50% probability (Washington Nationals 50%).
What time does Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals start?+
First pitch is at Aug 21, 2026, 11:10 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals?+
Miami Marlins: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1. Washington Nationals: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1. Final: 3-2.