Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 7 | 1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
The data suggests that the Miami Marlins currently hold an advantage over the Washington Nationals based on their recent head-to-head performances, winning three of the last five matchups. Additionally, the Nationals' struggle with a high average of 4.3 runs allowed in their recent games could play a crucial role in the outcome, favoring the Marlins to score effectively. Given their scoring averages and home advantage, a narrow victory for Miami appears likely.
- Miami Marlins won 3 of last 5 matchups against Nationals
- Washington Nationals have conceded an average of 4.3 runs in last 10 matches
- Marlins scored 3.9 runs per game over last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Miami Marlins
- Good recent formMiami Marlins
Miami Marlins have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formWashington Nationals
Washington Nationals have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Historical edgeMiami Marlins
Miami Marlins have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Miami Marlins at 56% — final result was Miami Marlins win, Miami Marlins 4-2 Washington Nationals.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Miami Marlins have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Washington Nationals have averaged 3.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Miami Marlins are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Washington Nationals.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Miami Marlins | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 3.67▲ | 1.27▼ |
| -3 | 3.38▼ | 1.29▲ |
| -2.5 | 2.81▲ | 1.41 |
| -2 | 2.54▲ | 1.50▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.19▲ | 1.69▼ |
| -1 | 1.79▼ | 2.01▲ |
| +1 | 1.36▼ | 3.08▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.30▼ | 3.39▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.36▲ | 2.99▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.50▲ | 2.53▼ |
| 7 | 1.62▲ | 2.26▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.87▲ | 1.95▼ |
| 8 | 1.98▲ | 1.80▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.16▲ | 1.67▼ |
| 9 | 2.50▲ | 1.51 |
| 9.5 | 2.73▲ | 1.43▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
More MLB predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals?+
Our AI model favors Miami Marlins to win, with a 56% probability (Washington Nationals 44%).
What time does Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals start?+
First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 8:10 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals?+
Miami Marlins: 2, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0. Washington Nationals: 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 4-2.

