ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka

UEFA Europa Conference League· 3rd Qualifying Round
ML Vitebsk
10After Penalties
Borac Banja Luka
WGoals 2-0
DWWWGoals 17-6
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 16'A. Mesarovic
  2. 40'Valeri Bocherov
  3. 45+1'Denilho Cleonise (Z. Volkov)
  4. 64'Viktor Rogan
  5. 66'A. Roguljic (A. Hiros)
  6. 70'A. Hiros
  7. 76'S. Savic (David Vuković)
  8. 76'Denilho Cleonise (B. Diabate)
  9. 79'B. Meijers
  10. 79'S. Balanovich (Y. Skibskiy)
  11. 87'I. Moskalenchik (V. Zhuk)
  12. 91'Sandi Ogrinec (M. Deket)
  13. 91'Viktor Rogan (N. Jaksic)
  14. 103'M. Deket (A. Hiros)
  15. 106'A. Mesarovic (S. Gnaka)
  16. 111'D. Hrelja (A. Pascual)
  17. 114'R. Bosic (N. Baranok)
  18. 116'N. Jaksic
  19. 117'D. Hrelja
  20. 120+1'S. Vranješ
  21. 120+1'Z. Volkov
  22. 120+2'A. Hiros
  23. 120+2'Artem Kontsevoj
  24. 120+3'M. Deket
  25. 120+3'L. Juricic (S. Vranješ)
  26. 120+3'S. Gnaka
  27. 120+4'S. Herrera
  28. 120+4'K. Gomanov
Lineups unavailable for this match.
ML VitebskBorac Banja Luka
2.0
Goals/game
1.7
0.0
Conceded/game
0.6

AI match analysis

ML Vitebsk win
36.49%
Draw
27.02%
Borac Banja Luka win
36.49%
41.7%BTTS
36.4%Over 2.5
42.7%ML Vitebsk clean sheet
27.3%Borac Banja Luka clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests that this match could be closely contested, as both teams have shown similar performance levels recently. ML Vitebsk's low goal-scoring average, combined with Borac Banja Luka's defensive vulnerabilities, indicates a potential for a low-scoring draw.

  • ML Vitebsk has averaged 0.9 goals scored in their last 10 matches
  • Borac Banja Luka is currently unbeaten in their last 3 matches
  • Both teams have shown a tendency to concede, with Borac averaging 1 conceded per game in their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceLow confidence
40/100

Confidence is low because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

What could change the prediction

  • Below-average model confidence

    Overall model confidence for this match is 40/100 — treat the prediction as directional rather than decisive.

  • Limited recent-match sample

    ML Vitebsk has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked ML Vitebsk at 36.49% — final result was ML Vitebsk win, ML Vitebsk 1-0 Borac Banja Luka.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a low confidence pick (40/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Borac Banja Luka2.53market 39.6% · model 36.49%
ML Vitebsk2.60market 38.5% · model 36.49%
Draw3.30market 30.3% · model 27.02%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • ML Vitebsk have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 1 matches.
  • Borac Banja Luka have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

ML Vitebsk2.60best 2.80
Draw3.30best 3.58
Borac Banja Luka2.53best 2.80

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.93best 2.08
Under 2.51.82best 1.87

Both teams to score

Yes1.71best 1.81
No2.00best 2.10

Double chance

ML Vitebsk/Draw1.46best 1.53
ML Vitebsk/Borac Banja Luka1.29best 1.33
Draw/Borac Banja Luka1.45best 1.51

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.28best 1.28
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.50best 3.50

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

ML Vitebsk2.60 0.22
Draw3.30 0.01
Borac Banja Luka2.53 0.21
10 Aug13 Aug

Model vs market

ML Vitebsk win+1pp
AI
36.49%
Market
35.5%
Draw-1pp
AI
27.02%
Market
28%
Borac Banja Luka win0pp
AI
36.49%
Market
36.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2Goals scored per game1.7
0Goals conceded per game0.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 1 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

A. Madley

3.82Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
1.18Penalties scored / game

Based on 11 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

ML Vitebsk

0-15'
50%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Borac Banja Luka

0-15'
14.3%
16-30'
28.6%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
42.9%

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka?+

Our AI model favors ML Vitebsk to win, with a 36.49% probability (Draw 27.02%, Borac Banja Luka 36.49%).

What time does ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).