New York Liberty W vs Chicago Sky W
Barclays Center
Total points edge
AI expects 160 total points vs the market's 180 line — leans under by 20 points.
Match events
No events yet.
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 85-75
The data suggests that New York Liberty W is favored to win this matchup, driven by their strong home performance and overall better season record. Chicago Sky W's recent struggle with only a 20% away win rate and their higher average points allowed also contribute to Liberty's advantage. The last five head-to-head meetings show Liberty dominating, further solidifying an expectation of a favorable outcome for the home team.
- New York Liberty W has a 65% home win rate this season.
- Chicago Sky W has struggled on the road with just a 20% away win rate.
- Historically, New York Liberty W has won 4 of the last 5 matchups against Chicago Sky W.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors New York Liberty W
- Good recent formNew York Liberty W
New York Liberty W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formChicago Sky W
Chicago Sky W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Tighter defenseNew York Liberty W
New York Liberty W are conceding just 85.6 points per game over their recent matches.
85.6/game conceded - Historical edgeNew York Liberty W
New York Liberty W have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Match trends
- New York Liberty W have averaged 81.4 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chicago Sky W have averaged 79.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Liberty W are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Chicago Sky W.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | New York Liberty W | Chicago Sky W |
|---|---|---|
| -10.5 | 2.10▲ | 1.67▼ |
| -10 | 2.07▲ | 1.70▼ |
| -9.5 | 1.98▲ | 1.78▼ |
| -9 | 1.94▲ | 1.84▼ |
| -8.5 | 1.86 | 1.91▲ |
| -8 | 1.81▼ | 1.97 |
| -7.5 | 1.74 | 2.02▼ |
| -7 | 1.69▲ | 2.09▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 178 | 1.71▼ | 2.04▲ |
| 178.5 | 1.76▼ | 1.98▲ |
| 179 | 1.78▼ | 1.98▲ |
| 179.5 | 1.84▼ | 1.91▲ |
| 180 | 1.88▼ | 1.89▲ |
| 180.5 | 1.93▼ | 1.83▲ |
| 181 | 1.97▼ | 1.80▲ |
| 181.5 | 2.01▼ | 1.75▲ |
Double chance
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 2 |  Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 3 |  New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 6 |  Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 7 |  Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 1 |  Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 |  Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 5 | Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 6 | New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 7 | Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 8 |  Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 9 |  Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 10 | Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 12 |  Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 14 | Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 15 |  Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 5 | Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 6 | Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 7 | Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 8 | Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.
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Who is likely to win New York Liberty W vs Chicago Sky W?+
Our AI model favors New York Liberty W to win, with a 76% probability (Chicago Sky W 24%).
What time does New York Liberty W vs Chicago Sky W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 29, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).