New York Yankees vs Houston Astros
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Data suggests that the New York Yankees are in solid form at home, having won 4 of their last 5 home matches against various opponents. On the other hand, the Houston Astros have struggled defensively, allowing an average of 5.5 runs in their last 10 games, which could be detrimental in this matchup. The head-to-head history leans slightly in favor of the Yankees, further supporting their potential for a win at home.
- New York Yankees won 4 of their last 5 matches at home.
- Houston Astros have conceded an average of 5.5 runs over their last 10 matches.
- In their last 5 encounters, New York Yankees lead with 3 wins against Houston.
- Yankees are averaging 3.4 runs scored per game, while Astros averaged 3.9.
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors New York Yankees
- Poor recent formNew York Yankees
New York Yankees have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Poor recent formHouston Astros
Houston Astros have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Historical edgeNew York Yankees
New York Yankees have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 52% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked New York Yankees at 52% — final result was Houston Astros win, New York Yankees 7-9 Houston Astros.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- New York Yankees have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Houston Astros have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Yankees are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Houston Astros.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | New York Yankees | Houston Astros |
|---|---|---|
| -3 | 3.65▲ | 1.26▼ |
| -2.5 | 3.05▲ | 1.36▼ |
| -2 | 2.77▲ | 1.42▼ |
| -1.5 | 2.37▲ | 1.60 |
| -1 | 1.97▲ | 1.82▼ |
| +1 | 1.48 | 2.56▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.41 | 2.84 |
| +2 | 1.23▼ | 3.63▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.39▲ | 2.89▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.57▲ | 2.34▼ |
| 8 | 1.66▲ | 2.18▼ |
| 8.5 | 1.83▲ | 2.00▼ |
| 9 | 1.98▲ | 1.81▼ |
| 9.5 | 2.24▲ | 1.63▼ |
| 10 | 2.43▲ | 1.53▼ |
| 10.5 | 2.57▲ | 1.49▼ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
More MLB predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win New York Yankees vs Houston Astros?+
Our AI model favors New York Yankees to win, with a 52% probability (Houston Astros 48%).
What time does New York Yankees vs Houston Astros start?+
First pitch is at Aug 25, 2026, 11:05 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in New York Yankees vs Houston Astros?+
New York Yankees: 0, 0, 3, 0, 2, 0, 1, 1, 0. Houston Astros: 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 2, 0, 3, 1. Final: 7-9.

