New York Yankees vs Houston Astros
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New York Yankees | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
 Houston Astros | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-3
Data suggests the New York Yankees have been productive offensively, averaging nearly 5 runs per game recently while the Houston Astros have struggled defensively, allowing over 6 runs per game. Historically, the Yankees have fared well against the Astros in their last five encounters, winning three of those matches. This context indicates a favorable scenario for the Yankees at home.
- New York Yankees averaging 4.9 runs scored in last 10 matches
- Houston Astros conceding an average of 6.3 runs in their last 10 games
- Yankees won 3 out of the last 5 matchups against the Astros
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors New York Yankees
- Poor recent formNew York Yankees
New York Yankees have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Poor recent formHouston Astros
Houston Astros have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Historical edgeNew York Yankees
New York Yankees have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked New York Yankees at 54% — final result was Houston Astros win, New York Yankees 1-5 Houston Astros.
Predicted score was 5-3.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- New York Yankees have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Houston Astros have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Yankees are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Houston Astros.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | New York Yankees | Houston Astros |
|---|---|---|
| -3 | 3.60▲ | 1.26▼ |
| -2.5 | 2.94▲ | 1.37 |
| -2 | 2.68▲ | 1.45▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.28▼ | 1.64▲ |
| -1 | 1.89▼ | 1.89 |
| +1 | 1.43▼ | 2.78▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.35▼ | 3.07▲ |
| +2 | 1.22 | 3.80 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.42▲ | 2.77 |
| 7 | 1.51▲ | 2.48▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.72▲ | 2.09▼ |
| 8 | 1.84▲ | 1.94▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.01▲ | 1.81▼ |
| 9 | 2.30▲ | 1.59▼ |
| 9.5 | 2.52▲ | 1.50▼ |
| 10 | 2.81▲ | 1.41▼ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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San Diego PadresFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win New York Yankees vs Houston Astros?+
Our AI model favors New York Yankees to win, with a 54% probability (Houston Astros 46%).
What time does New York Yankees vs Houston Astros start?+
First pitch is at Aug 27, 2026, 11:05 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in New York Yankees vs Houston Astros?+
New York Yankees: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0. Houston Astros: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 2, 1, 1, 0. Final: 1-5.