New York Yankees vs Houston Astros
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New York Yankees | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | — | 9 | 13 | 1 |
 Houston Astros | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-5
The data suggests a competitive matchup, with the Yankees averaging 4.1 runs scored in their recent form while the Astros have been more vulnerable defensively, allowing 6.1 runs on average. The head-to-head history has seen both teams exchange wins, indicating the tight nature of their contests, though the Astros have recently bested the Yankees in their last game.
- New York Yankees have scored an average of 4.1 runs per game in their last 10 matches.
- Houston Astros have conceded an average of 6.1 runs per game in their last 10 matches.
- Historically, Yankees and Astros games have been closely contested, with Astros winning the last encounter 9-7.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors New York Yankees
- Poor recent formNew York Yankees
New York Yankees have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Poor recent formHouston Astros
Houston Astros have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Historical edgeHouston Astros
Houston Astros have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 46% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked New York Yankees at 46% — final result was New York Yankees win, New York Yankees 9-3 Houston Astros.
Predicted score was 4-5.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (54/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- New York Yankees have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Houston Astros have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Yankees are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Houston Astros.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | New York Yankees | Houston Astros |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.33▲ | 1.31▼ |
| -2 | 3.04▲ | 1.37▼ |
| -1.5 | 2.57▲ | 1.52▼ |
| -1 | 2.10▲ | 1.73▼ |
| +1 | 1.57▲ | 2.39▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.47▲ | 2.60▼ |
| +2 | 1.30▲ | 3.25▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.29▲ | 3.40▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.37▲ | 2.91▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.56▲ | 2.38 |
| 8 | 1.65▲ | 2.21▼ |
| 8.5 | 1.80▲ | 2.01▼ |
| 9 | 1.99▲ | 1.82▲ |
| 9.5 | 2.19▲ | 1.66 |
| 10 | 2.44▼ | 1.54▲ |
| 10.5 | 2.60▲ | 1.48▼ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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San Diego PadresFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win New York Yankees vs Houston Astros?+
Our AI model favors New York Yankees to win, with a 46% probability (Houston Astros 54%).
What time does New York Yankees vs Houston Astros start?+
First pitch is at Aug 26, 2026, 11:05 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in New York Yankees vs Houston Astros?+
New York Yankees: 2, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 4, 2. Houston Astros: 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0. Final: 9-3.