Nippon Ham Fighters vs Fukuoka S. Hawks

NPB
WWWWRuns 49-453rd in Pacific Division · 67-54
WWLWRuns 48-321st in Pacific Division · 73-45
Home13W 6L(95-82)
Away16W 3L(91-42)
Kicks off in
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

Nippon Ham Fighters win
33%
Fukuoka S. Hawks win
67%

Predicted score: 5-6

Data suggests that while the Nippon Ham Fighters perform well at home, their recent form has been uneven with a slight edge in scoring. The Fukuoka S. Hawks, ranked first in the division and showing a strong away record, have been more consistent defensively. Historically, they also have favorable outcomes in recent matchups against Nippon Ham. Overall, the numbers favor Fukuoka S. Hawks in this encounter.

  • Nippon Ham Fighters have a home win rate of 68% this season.
  • Fukuoka S. Hawks boast an impressive away win rate of 84%.
  • In their last 10 games, Nippon Ham Fighters averaged 4.9 runs scored and 4.5 runs allowed, while Fukuoka S. Hawks limited opponents to 3.2 runs.
  • The overall head-to-head record is even, but recent patterns show Fukuoka S. Hawks have won more games, including their previous encounter.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
93/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors Fukuoka S. Hawks

  • Tighter defenseFukuoka S. Hawks

    Fukuoka S. Hawks are conceding just 3.2 runs per game over their recent matches.

    3.2/game conceded
  • Higher league positionFukuoka S. Hawks

    Fukuoka S. Hawks sit 2 places above Nippon Ham Fighters in the table.

    #1 vs #3
  • Strong home recordNippon Ham Fighters

    Nippon Ham Fighters have won 13 of their last 19 home matches.

    13/19 home wins
  • Strong away recordFukuoka S. Hawks

    Fukuoka S. Hawks have won 16 of their last 19 away matches.

    16/19 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

Match trends

  • Nippon Ham Fighters have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Fukuoka S. Hawks have averaged 4.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Nippon Ham Fighters are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Fukuoka S. Hawks.
Odds not available for this match yet.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Nippon Ham Fighters wins
3Fukuoka S. Hawks wins
22-22Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Hanshin Tigers
1176750+7157
2
Yomiuri Giants
1196356+2553
3
Yokohama BayStars
1185464+746
4
Yakult Swallows
1175265-7544
5
Hiroshima Carp
1144767-7841
6
Chunichi Dragons
1215170-842
1
Fukuoka S. Hawks
1187345+18362
2
Seibu Lions
1216952+4157
3
Nippon Ham Fighters
1216754+6755
4
Orix Buffaloes
1205763-7348
5
Chiba Lotte Marines
1155263-7445
6
Rakuten Gold. Eagles
1174572-8639

More NPB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Nippon Ham Fighters vs Fukuoka S. Hawks?+

Our AI model favors Fukuoka S. Hawks to win, with a 67% probability (Nippon Ham Fighters 33%).

What time does Nippon Ham Fighters vs Fukuoka S. Hawks start?+

First pitch is at Sep 2, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).