Northampton vs Swindon Town
Match events
- 37'M. Clark
- 51'L. Millard (Joseph Hungbo)
- 67'Ollie Clarke (O. Palmer)
- 68'Kaelan Andrew Moore Majekodunmi (R. Tafazolli)
- 68'B. Middlemas (J. Pearman)
- 71'M. Warhurst (Harvey Saunders)
- 71'Lee Evans (J. Perkins)
- 73'Tom Nichols
- 90+1'Tom Nichols (L. Griffiths-Brown)
- 90+2'L. Briggs (Elliott List)
- 90+2'C. Lemonheigh-Evans (K. Swyer)
- 0.6
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 2.3
- Conceded/game
- 1.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a closely contested match between Northampton and Swindon Town, given their recent forms with both sides experiencing difficulties in securing wins. Northampton's defensive struggles have contributed to their poor run, while Swindon has similarly struggled, particularly in away fixtures. Historically, encounters between these teams have often ended in narrow margins, pointing towards a potential draw.
- Northampton has lost their last 5 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.5 goals conceded per game.
- Swindon Town has also lost 4 of their last 5 matches, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 goals conceded per game.
- The last 5 head-to-head encounters have seen both teams alternating victories, indicating a competitive matchup. The last two meetings ended 2-1 in favor of each team.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Northampton
- Tighter defenseSwindon Town
Swindon Town are conceding just 1.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game conceded - Historical edgeSwindon Town
Swindon Town have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionSwindon Town
Swindon Town sit 11 places above Northampton in the table.
#7 vs #18 - Poor recent formNorthampton
Northampton have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.
0W 0D 5L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Northampton at 44.75% — final result was a draw, Northampton 0-0 Swindon Town.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (81/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Northampton have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Swindon Town have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Northampton
Swindon TownSwindon TownNorthamptonSwindon TownNorthamptonNorthamptonSwindon TownSwindon TownNorthamptonNorthamptonSwindon TownNorthamptonSwindon TownSwindon TownNorthamptonOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Northampton | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 7 | Swindon Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | WD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
S. Oldham
Based on 12 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Swindon Town
More League Two predictions
Port Vale
Crewe
Barnet
Cheltenham
Rotherham
Chesterfield
GillinghamNorthamptonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Northampton vs Swindon Town?+
Our AI model favors Northampton to win, with a 44.75% probability (Draw 27.26%, Swindon Town 27.99%).
What time does Northampton vs Swindon Town kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).