Port Vale vs Tranmere
Match events
- 5'K. Dempsey
- 18'George Byers
- 27'George Byers (R. Walters)
- 53'H. Male (J. Turnbull)
- 59'T. Conlon (Sam Finley)
- 59'P. Brough (J. Slater)
- 68'N. Smith
- 72'Thomas Ince
- 75'O. Lynch (T. Simpson)
- 79'Joe Ironside
- 83'L. Montsma (Connor Hall)
- 83'Mo Faal (Ben Garrity)
- 84'G. Hall (B. Waine)
- 84'Z. Okoro (C. Veevers)
- 86'Ben Garrity
- 90+10'Sam Finley
- 0.7
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Analysis indicates a tightly contested match, as recent head-to-heads have produced several draws. Port Vale's struggles in scoring, coupled with Tranmere's mixed away form, suggest a balanced game could unfold. The numbers favor a draw given the defensive records of both teams, although Tranmere's higher league standing may provide them with an edge.
- Tranmere ranked 5th in League Two with a recent win against Shrewsbury
- Port Vale has lost 4 of their last 5 matches with a poor scoring average
- Last 5 head-to-head encounters have seen no clear advantage with multiple draws
- Tranmere's recent form shows potential despite conceding numerous goals historically
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Port Vale
- Higher league positionTranmere
Tranmere sit 16 places above Port Vale in the table.
#4 vs #20 - Poor recent formPort Vale
Port Vale have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Historical edgeTranmere
Tranmere have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Sharper attackTranmere
Tranmere are averaging 0.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Port Vale at 49.5% — final result was a draw, Port Vale 1-1 Tranmere.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (83/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Port Vale have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Tranmere have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Tranmere
Port ValePort ValeTranmereTranmerePort ValePort ValeTranmereTranmerePort ValePort ValeTranmerePort ValeTranmereTranmerePort ValeOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Tranmere
More League Two predictions
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Cheltenham
Rotherham
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NorthamptonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Port Vale vs Tranmere?+
Our AI model favors Port Vale to win, with a 49.5% probability (Draw 26.5%, Tranmere 24%).
What time does Port Vale vs Tranmere kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).