Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir — Championship

Championship· Regular Season - 3

Queen's Park

0–2Full-time

Stenhousemuir

WDDLDLGoals 7-1110th in league

LLWLWWGoals 11-101st in league

Home0W 0D 2L(1-4)

Away1W 1D 0L(3-1)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

46'T. McDonnell (N. Todorov)
46'L. O'Donnell (E. O'Reilly)
46'L. Hodgkiss (G. Stevenson)
49'E. O'Reilly (F. Robson)
54'K. Bilham
59'K. Bilham (O. MacIntyre)
61'A. McCallion (L. Stewart)
61'M. Ruth (J. Hamilton)
67'R. Lamie (O. Fisher)
68'G. Stevenson
68'D. Carrick (M. Aitken)
75'L. Grant (G. Buchanan)
84'G. Buchanan (S. Bright)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Queen's ParkStenhousemuir

0.7
Goals/game: 1.1; 1.1
Conceded/game: 1.0

AI match analysis

Queen's Park win

41%

Draw

30%

Stenhousemuir win

29%

38.2%BTTS

31%Over 2.5

33.3%Queen's Park clean sheet

42.7%Stenhousemuir clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a closely contested match between Queen's Park and Stenhousemuir. Queen's Park is struggling with form, having lost their last three games, while Stenhousemuir has a mix of results with a win and a draw in their most recent fixtures. The scoring averages indicate both teams may find it challenging to convert opportunities, potentially leading to a draw.

Queen's Park has lost their last 3 matches
Stenhousemuir has registered 1 win and 1 draw in their last two matches
Historically, Queen's Park has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per game this season
Stenhousemuir has scored an average of 1.1 goals per game recently.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

69/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Queen's Park

Poor recent formQueen's Park
Queen's Park have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
0W 2D 3L
Good recent formStenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L
Higher league positionStenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir sit 9 places above Queen's Park in the table.
#1 vs #10
Sharper attackStenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir are averaging 1.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Queen's Park at 41% — final result was Stenhousemuir win, Queen's Park 0-2 Stenhousemuir.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Queen's Park2.20market 45.5% · model 41%

Draw3.12market 32% · model 30%

Stenhousemuir ✓3.14market 31.9% · model 29%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Queen's Park have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Stenhousemuir have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Queen's Park2.20best 2.31

Draw3.12▲best 3.25

Stenhousemuir3.14▲best 3.34

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.09▼best 2.13

Under 2.51.68▲best 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes1.84▼best 1.91

No1.85▲best 1.91

Double chance

Queen's Park/Draw1.31▼best 1.36

Queen's Park/Stenhousemuir1.30▼best 1.36

Draw/Stenhousemuir1.59▲best 1.72

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75▲best 2.75

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40▼best 1.40

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.40best 3.40

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.30best 1.30

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Queen's Park2.20▲ 0.02

Draw3.12▼ 0.06

Stenhousemuir3.14▲ 0.09

19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

Queen's Park win-0.6pp

41%

Market

41.6%

Draw+0.7pp

30%

Market

29.3%

Stenhousemuir win-0.1pp

29%

Market

29.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.