bet2837
EN

Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd

Championship· Regular Season - 3
Raith Rovers
2–0Full-time
Ayr Utd
LLWWGoals 17-152nd in league
LLDLGoals 7-175th in league
Home1W 1D 0L(3-1)
Away0W 1D 1L(1-3)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 5'Leon King
  2. 9'A. Dowds (Z. Delaney)
  3. 15'A. Dowds (P. McMullan)
  4. 52'C. Adamson
  5. 60'C. Telfer
  6. 61'B. Summers
  7. 64'Scott McMann (Jamie Murphy)
  8. 65'C. Adamson (S. Brown)
  9. 65'C. Telfer (D. Easton)
  10. 66'P. McMullan (Scott Tiffoney)
  11. 76'R. Taylor (T. Hatton)
  12. 78'J. Robertson (K. Turner)
  13. 88'B. Summers (N. McAllister)
  14. 88'O. Stirton (J. Douglas)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Raith RoversAyr Utd
1.7
Goals/game
0.7
1.5
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

Raith Rovers win
49%
Draw
27%
Ayr Utd win
24%
54.5%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
33.3%Raith Rovers clean sheet
18.3%Ayr Utd clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests a competitive match between Raith Rovers and Ayr Utd, with Raith having a favorable recent head-to-head record. Ayr Utd's defensive issues may be tested further, especially given Raith's scoring average. The probabilities imply a close contest, leaning slightly towards Raith's advantage at home.

  • Raith Rovers are unbeaten in their last 5 home matches against Ayr Utd.
  • Ayr Utd have struggled defensively, conceding 8 goals in their last 5 matches.
  • Raith Rovers scored an average of 1.7 goals per game over their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
85/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Raith Rovers

  • Good recent formRaith Rovers

    Raith Rovers have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Poor recent formAyr Utd

    Ayr Utd have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 1D 4L
  • Sharper attackRaith Rovers

    Raith Rovers are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game
  • Tighter defenseRaith Rovers

    Raith Rovers are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Raith Rovers at 49% — final result was Raith Rovers win, Raith Rovers 2-0 Ayr Utd.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (85/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Raith Rovers ✓1.92market 52% · model 49%
Draw3.27market 30.5% · model 27%
Ayr Utd3.73market 26.8% · model 24%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Raith Rovers have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Ayr Utd have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Raith Rovers wins
0Draws
4Ayr Utd wins
8-9Goals
Raith Rovers
3–0Mar 27, 2026, 7:45 PM
Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
2–1Jan 31, 2026, 3:00 PM
Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
0–2Oct 11, 2025, 2:00 PM
Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
0–1Aug 9, 2025, 2:00 PM
Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
1–0Apr 5, 2025, 2:00 PM
Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
3–0Jan 4, 2025, 3:00 PM
Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
2–0Nov 1, 2024, 7:45 PM
Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
2–0Aug 24, 2024, 2:00 PM
Raith Rovers

Odds comparison

Match winner

Raith Rovers1.92best 2.00
Draw3.27▼best 3.42
Ayr Utd3.73▼best 4.06

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.06▲best 2.12
Under 2.51.70▼best 1.74

Both teams to score

Yes1.86best 1.91
No1.82▼best 1.85

Double chance

Raith Rovers/Draw1.23best 1.29
Raith Rovers/Ayr Utd1.27▲best 1.33
Draw/Ayr Utd1.78▼best 1.85

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.38best 2.38
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.53best 1.53
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00best 4.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22best 1.22

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Raith Rovers1.92▲ 0.02
Draw3.27▼ 0.03
Ayr Utd3.73▲ 0.04
19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

Raith Rovers win+1.5pp
AI
49%
Market
47.5%
Draw-0.9pp
AI
27%
Market
27.9%
Ayr Utd win-0.5pp
AI
24%
Market
24.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Raith Rovers
3210+37WWD
5
Ayr Utd
311104LDW

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game0.7
1.5Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Raith Rovers

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Ayr Utd

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Championship predictions

Championship
Aug 28, 2026, 6:30 PM
Dunfermline
Raith Rovers
12.4836.34%
X3.3027.73%
22.5835.93%
Prediction:Dunfermline
Championship
Aug 29, 2026, 2:00 PM
Arbroath
Livingston
13.32
X3.36
22.02
Championship
Aug 29, 2026, 2:00 PM
Partick
Queen's Park
11.31
X4.75
28.25
Championship
Aug 29, 2026, 2:00 PM
Ayr Utd
Morton
11.67
X3.54
24.67

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?+

Our AI model favors Raith Rovers to win, with a 49% probability (Draw 27%, Ayr Utd 24%).

What time does Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).