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RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG

CONMEBOL Sudamericana· Round of 16
RB Bragantino
0–1Full-time
Atletico-MG
LDDWGoals 12-122nd in league
DWDDGoals 13-111st in league
Home2W 0D 1L(5-3)
Away0W 1D 2L(3-5)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 29'L. Vojnović (Vitor Hugo)
  2. 52'Juninho Capixaba
  3. 56'J. Herrera (Gustavo Neves)
  4. 65'Bernard (A. Minda)
  5. 65'Reinier (Mateo Cassierra)
  6. 66'Victor Hugo (Igor Gomes)
  7. 71'Eduardo Sasha (I. Pitta)
  8. 74'T. Cuello
  9. 82'Lucas Barbosa
  10. 84'Lucas Barbosa (Marcelinho)
  11. 84'Gabriel Girotto (Eric Ramires)
  12. 86'T. Cuello (M. Cisse)

Lineups

RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
4-2-3-14-2-3-1
1
1. Cleiton
29. Juninho Capixaba
2
2. Guzmán Rodríguez
16
16. Gustavo Marques
23
23. A. Sant'Anna
20
20. Rodriguinho
6
← 84'
6. Gabriel Girotto
17
17. Vinicinho
21
← 84'
21. Lucas Barbosa
32
← 56'
32. J. Herrera
← 71'
8. Eduardo Sasha
← 65'
19. Reinier
← 65'
11. Bernard
← 66'
30. Victor Hugo
28
← 86'
28. T. Cuello
8. Maycon
21
21. A. Franco
6. Renan Lodi
13
← 29'
13. L. Vojnović
4. Ruan
2
2. Natanael
22. Éverson
Vágner ManciniCoachEduardo Dominguez
Bench (12)
Bench (12)
RB BragantinoAtletico-MG
1.2
Goals/game
1.3
1.2
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

RB Bragantino win
44.51%
Draw
31.13%
Atletico-MG win
24.36%
48.8%BTTS
43%Over 2.5
28.7%RB Bragantino clean sheet
31.7%Atletico-MG clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The recent form shows that RB Bragantino is struggling at home, having lost two of their last five matches there, while Atletico-MG has yet to win away this season. Historically, the head-to-head matches suggest a competitive edge for Bragantino, especially at home, which may factor into their performance. The numbers indicate a balanced encounter, leaning towards a low-scoring draw.

  • RB Bragantino unbeaten in last 5 home matches against Atletico-MG
  • Atletico-MG has lost their last two away games
  • Both teams are ranked in the top two of their group
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
78/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors RB Bragantino

  • Strong home recordRB Bragantino

    RB Bragantino have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.

    2/3 home wins
  • Weak away recordAtletico-MG

    Atletico-MG have won 0 of their last 3 away matches.

    0/3 away wins
  • Sharper attackAtletico-MG

    Atletico-MG are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game
  • Historical edgeAtletico-MG

    Atletico-MG have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    3/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 45% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked RB Bragantino at 44.51% — final result was Atletico-MG win, RB Bragantino 0-1 Atletico-MG.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (78/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

RB Bragantino2.12market 47.2% · model 44.51%
Draw3.07market 32.6% · model 31.13%
Atletico-MG ✓3.76market 26.6% · model 24.36%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • RB Bragantino have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Atletico-MG have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1RB Bragantino wins
4Draws
3Atletico-MG wins
12-13Goals
Atletico-MG
2–2Aug 19, 2026, 10:00 PM
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
2–0Nov 16, 2025, 10:00 PM
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
2–1Aug 3, 2025, 9:30 PM
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
1–2Oct 26, 2023, 10:00 PM
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
1–1Jun 10, 2023, 9:30 PM
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
1–1Sep 7, 2022, 8:00 PM
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
1–1May 11, 2022, 11:30 PM
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
4–3Dec 5, 2021, 7:00 PM
RB Bragantino

Odds comparison

Match winner

RB Bragantino2.12▲best 2.21
Draw3.07▼best 3.20
Atletico-MG3.76▲best 4.05

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.44▲best 2.60
Under 2.51.54▼best 1.70

Both teams to score

Yes2.05▲best 2.15
No1.71▼best 1.91

Double chance

RB Bragantino/Draw1.25▼best 1.29
RB Bragantino/Atletico-MG1.35▲best 1.41
Draw/Atletico-MG1.71▼best 1.76

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.23▼best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.60▲best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.23▼best 2.25
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.31▲best 1.33

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

RB Bragantino2.12▲ 0.13
Draw3.07▼ 0.26
Atletico-MG3.76▲ 0.03
10 Aug – 12 Aug

Model vs market

RB Bragantino win+0.1pp
AI
44.51%
Market
44.4%
Draw+0.5pp
AI
31.13%
Market
30.6%
Atletico-MG win-0.6pp
AI
24.36%
Market
25%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
RB Bragantino
6312+710DWLW
1
Atletico-MG
6312+210WDLW

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.3
1.2Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

RB Bragantino

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
16.7%
76-90+'
33.3%

Atletico-MG

0-15'
0%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
8.3%

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM
River Plate
Santa Fe
11.2572.00%
X5.4219.00%
213.019.00%
Prediction:River Plate

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG?+

Our AI model favors RB Bragantino to win, with a 44.51% probability (Draw 31.13%, Atletico-MG 24.36%).

What time does RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 12, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).