Rochdale vs Crawley Town
Match events
- 8'O. Aderoju
- 13'P. Farquharson
- 28'D. Moss
- 34'K. Wilson
- 45+1'S. Sherring
- 45+2'Colin Kazim-Richards
- 48'Jude Arthurs
- 48'J. Russell
- 54'E. Ebanks-Landell (R. East)
- 63'J. Russell (L. Richards)
- 69'L. Watson
- 69'Nils Ramming
- 72'L. Watson
- 82'R. East (K. Taylor)
- 82'Edward Francis (Babajide Adeeko)
- 87'D. Moss (Zain Silcott-Duberry)
- 87'H. Gilmour (I. Henderson)
- 89'K. Jennings (K. Krasniqi)
- 90+3'O. Aderoju (D. Orsi)
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.8
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Rochdale, despite a poor start to the season, may have an edge playing at home against Crawley Town, who have struggled to find the back of the net. Crawley has not secured a win in their last 5 outings, contributing to their low scoring averages. The head-to-head history favors Crawley slightly, but Rochdale's home advantage could result in a tight match.
- Crawley Town has not won in their last 5 matches.
- Rochdale has conceded an average of 1.9 goals per game in their last 10 matches.
- Historically, Rochdale has recently won only 1 of their last 5 meetings with Crawley Town.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Rochdale
- Sharper attackRochdale
Rochdale are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game - Tighter defenseCrawley Town
Crawley Town are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded - Historical edgeCrawley Town
Crawley Town have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
3/6 H2H wins - Higher league positionCrawley Town
Crawley Town sit 8 places above Rochdale in the table.
#15 vs #23
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Rochdale at 50% — final result was Crawley Town win, Rochdale 1-2 Crawley Town.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (87/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Rochdale have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Crawley Town have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 |  Rochdale | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 15 |  Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
Z. Kennard-Kettle
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Rochdale
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NorthamptonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Rochdale vs Crawley Town?+
Our AI model favors Rochdale to win, with a 50% probability (Draw 25%, Crawley Town 25%).
What time does Rochdale vs Crawley Town kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).