Rotherham vs York
Match events
- 20'E. Otoo (K. Spence)
- 30'Z. Johnson (R. Fallowfield)
- 40'A. Newby (H. Boyes)
- 56'Fabio Tavares (Tom Bradshaw)
- 57'O. Ashley (K. Ngwenya)
- 67'A. Hunt (A. Read)
- 67'L. Agbaire (Joe Rafferty)
- 71'M. Kitching (C. McArthur)
- 72'J. Felix (J. King)
- 76'P. Mullin (A. Martha)
- 78'J. Buyabu
- 90+4'B. Cover
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 1.9
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a closely contested match given both teams' recent performances, with York entering in better form after winning their last match. Rotherham's struggles are reflected in their recent form, losing all of their last five games. The last two encounters between these teams resulted in draws, indicating a trend that may persist. The predicted score of 1-1 aligns with the competitive nature displayed in the statistics.
- York has won 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Rotherham has lost their last 5 matches.
- Historically, the last two encounters ended in draws (1-1 and 0-0).
- York has a recent scoring average of 1.4 goals per game.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Rotherham
- Poor recent formRotherham
Rotherham have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L - Good recent formYork
York have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Higher league positionYork
York sit 11 places above Rotherham in the table.
#6 vs #17 - Sharper attackYork
York are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Rotherham at 37% — final result was a draw, Rotherham 1-1 York.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Rotherham have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- York have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
D. Bourne
Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Rotherham
York
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NorthamptonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Rotherham vs York?+
Our AI model favors Rotherham to win, with a 37% probability (Draw 27%, York 36%).
What time does Rotherham vs York kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).