Salford City vs Chesterfield

League Two· Regular Season - 2
DLLLGoals 10-1222nd in league
LDLLGoals 9-716th in league
Home0W 0D 1L(0-1)
Away1W 0D 0L(1-0)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 2'L. Bonis
  2. 44'L. Mandeville
  3. 53'J. Simpson
  4. 57'Luke Garbutt
  5. 61'Joe Powell (B. Wiredu)
  6. 61'Luke Garbutt (D. Udoh)
  7. 69'G. McEachran (Tom Naylor)
  8. 72'Ben Woodburn (K. Malcolm)
  9. 73'K. N'Mai (A. Odoh)
  10. 77'J. Koroma (R. Lamptey)
  11. 77'Dilan Markanday (Malik Owolabi-Belewu)
  12. 77'Remeao Hutton (J. Eccleston)
  13. 84'J. Grant (K. Cesay)
  14. 84'L. Mandeville (F. Bryden)
  15. 90+4'R. Lamptey
  16. 90+5'B. Wiredu

Lineups

Salford CityChesterfield
1.0
Goals/game
0.9
1.2
Conceded/game
0.7

AI match analysis

Salford City win
46%
Draw
28%
Chesterfield win
26%
37.2%BTTS
29.6%Over 2.5
35%Salford City clean sheet
42.7%Chesterfield clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a competitive matchup as both teams are struggling early in the season, with Salford City's recent form showing a mix of draws and losses, while Chesterfield has had a particularly low scoring trend. Historically, Chesterfield has had the upper hand in their previous encounters with Salford City. Therefore, the likely outcome could see both teams cancelling each other out, leaning towards a draw given the scoring difficulties faced by both sides.

  • Chesterfield unbeaten in last 5 meetings with Salford City
  • Salford City averaging 1 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game recently
  • Chesterfield averaging only 0.9 goals scored per game in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
82/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Salford City

  • Historical edgeChesterfield

    Chesterfield have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins
  • Tighter defenseChesterfield

    Chesterfield are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded
  • Higher league positionChesterfield

    Chesterfield sit 6 places above Salford City in the table.

    #16 vs #22
  • Poor recent formSalford City

    Salford City have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Salford City at 46% — final result was Chesterfield win, Salford City 0-1 Chesterfield.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (82/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Salford City2.14market 46.8% · model 46%
Draw3.27market 30.6% · model 28%
Chesterfield3.29market 30.4% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Salford City have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Chesterfield have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 5 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Salford City wins
1Draws
4Chesterfield wins
1-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Salford City2.14best 2.21
Draw3.27best 3.47
Chesterfield3.29best 3.65

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.01best 2.08
Under 2.51.75best 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes1.80best 1.83
No1.91best 2.00

Double chance

Salford City/Draw1.29best 1.35
Salford City/Chesterfield1.30best 1.36
Draw/Chesterfield1.66best 1.77

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00best 4.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.50best 2.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.50best 1.50

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Salford City2.14 0.09
Draw3.27 0.02
Chesterfield3.29 0.16
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Salford City win+2.5pp
AI
46%
Market
43.5%
Draw-0.4pp
AI
28%
Market
28.4%
Chesterfield win-2.2pp
AI
26%
Market
28.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
22
Salford City
2002-30LL
16
Chesterfield
210103WL

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game0.9
1.2Goals conceded per game0.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

S. Oldham

2.75Yellow cards / game
0.13Red cards / game
0.25Penalties scored / game

Based on 8 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Salford City

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

More League Two predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Salford City vs Chesterfield?+

Our AI model favors Salford City to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 28%, Chesterfield 26%).

What time does Salford City vs Chesterfield kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).