San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins

MLB
WLLWRuns 39-202nd in NL West Division · 72-62
LWLLRuns 42-523rd in AL Central Division · 64-70
Home16W 4L(112-50)
Away7W 13L(80-95)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
San Diego Padres
20004000690
Minnesota Twins
000200000220

AI match analysis

San Diego Padres win
37%
Minnesota Twins win
42%

Predicted score: 4-5

Data suggests a competitive matchup between the San Diego Padres and the Minnesota Twins, with the visiting Twins having a favorable recent head-to-head record. The Padres have shown scoring capability but have also struggled defensively, while the Twins come off a streak of strong offensive performances. Current trends indicate an edge for Minnesota, as they average 4 runs scored in their last 10 matches compared to San Diego's inconsistent form.

  • San Diego Padres average 4.6 runs scored in their last 10 matches
  • Minnesota Twins have won 3 of their last 5 matchups against San Diego
  • San Diego Padres struggled defensively, conceding 2.8 runs per game recently
  • Minnesota Twins scored heavily in their last series, averaging 4 runs per game in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceLow confidence
37/100

Confidence is low because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Minnesota Twins

  • Good recent formSan Diego Padres

    San Diego Padres have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Poor recent formMinnesota Twins

    Minnesota Twins have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Historical edgeSan Diego Padres

    San Diego Padres have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Below-average model confidence

    Overall model confidence for this match is 37/100 — treat the prediction as directional rather than decisive.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Minnesota Twins at 42% — final result was San Diego Padres win, San Diego Padres 6-2 Minnesota Twins.

Predicted score was 4-5.

The model itself flagged this as a low confidence pick (37/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Match trends

  • San Diego Padres have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Minnesota Twins have averaged 4.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • San Diego Padres are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Minnesota Twins.
Odds not available for this match yet.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3San Diego Padres wins
2Minnesota Twins wins
33-23Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
2
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
3
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
4
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
1
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
2
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
3
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
4
Athletics
1345381-18540
5
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
5
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
6
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
7
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
10
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
11
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
12
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
14
Athletics
1345381-18540
15
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
5
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
1
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
3
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
4
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
5
New York Mets
1336073-4645
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
4
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
5
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
4
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
6
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
8
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
11
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
12
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
13
New York Mets
1336073-4645
14
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
15
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239

More MLB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins?+

Our AI model favors Minnesota Twins to win, with a 42% probability (San Diego Padres 58%).

What time does San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins start?+

First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 1:40 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins?+

San Diego Padres: 2, 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 0, 0. Minnesota Twins: 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 6-2.