Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Seattle Mariners | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — | 9 | 10 | 0 |
 Philadelphia Phillies | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-5
Data suggests that the Philadelphia Phillies are in favorable form, having won 4 consecutive games, while the Seattle Mariners struggle defensively, averaging nearly 8 runs conceded per game. The historical head-to-head record heavily favors the Phillies, indicating a strong likelihood of them continuing their dominance in this matchup.
- Philadelphia Phillies have won 4 of their last 5 matches
- Seattle Mariners have allowed an average of 7.9 runs in their last 10 games
- Historically, the Phillies hold a strong advantage with an 11-2 record over the Mariners in their last 5 meetings
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Philadelphia Phillies
- Historical edgePhiladelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formSeattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formPhiladelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 46% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Philadelphia Phillies at 46% — final result was Seattle Mariners win, Seattle Mariners 9-2 Philadelphia Phillies.
Predicted score was 4-5.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (56/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Seattle Mariners have averaged 3.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Philadelphia Phillies have averaged 5.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Seattle Mariners are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Philadelphia Phillies.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Seattle Mariners | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 3.70 | 1.24 |
| -1.5 | 3.10 | 1.35 |
| -1 | 2.60 | 1.48 |
| +1 | 1.71 | 2.13 |
| +1.5 | 1.53 | 2.54 |
| +2 | 1.38 | 3.04 |
| +2.5 | 1.29 | 3.48 |
| +3 | 1.21 | 4.14 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.32 | 3.18 |
| 5.5 | 1.54 | 2.43 |
| 6 | 1.63 | 2.26 |
| 6.5 | 1.82 | 2.00 |
| 7 | 2.03 | 1.77 |
| 7.5 | 2.32 | 1.59 |
| 8 | 2.61 | 1.46 |
| 8.5 | 2.84 | 1.40 |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Seattle MarinersPhiladelphia PhilliesSeattle MarinersPhiladelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia PhilliesSeattle MarinersPhiladelphia PhilliesSeattle MarinersPhiladelphia PhilliesSeattle MarinersLeague standings
More MLB predictions
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
St.Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh PiratesFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies?+
Our AI model favors Philadelphia Phillies to win, with a 46% probability (Seattle Mariners 54%).
What time does Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies start?+
First pitch is at Aug 25, 2026, 1:40 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies?+
Seattle Mariners: 5, 0, 1, 0, 2, 0, 1, 0. Philadelphia Phillies: 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 9-2.