Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies

MLB
LWWLRuns 40-733rd in AL West Division · 64-70
WLLWRuns 57-412nd in NL East Division · 74-60
Home12W 8L(87-93)
Away11W 9L(93-79)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Seattle Mariners
01000120450
Philadelphia Phillies
010000000160

AI match analysis

Seattle Mariners win
33%
Philadelphia Phillies win
47%

Predicted score: 4-6

Analysis suggests the Philadelphia Phillies possess a strong offensive edge, scoring an average of 6.6 runs in their recent matches compared to the Seattle Mariners' 5.3. The Mariners' defensive struggles, allowing 8.1 runs per game, may further compound their challenges. Historical head-to-head results indicate mixed outcomes, but the Phillies' recent form favors them with four victories in their last five games.

  • Philadelphia Phillies scored an average of 6.6 runs in their last 10 games
  • Seattle Mariners have conceded an average of 8.1 runs per game in their last 10 matches
  • Philadelphia Phillies won 4 of their last 5 games, showcasing strong form
  • Seattle Mariners lost their last match against the Phillies by a 9-2 scoreline.
AI ConfidenceLow confidence
48/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Philadelphia Phillies

  • Historical edgePhiladelphia Phillies

    Philadelphia Phillies have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins
  • Good recent formSeattle Mariners

    Seattle Mariners have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Good recent formPhiladelphia Phillies

    Philadelphia Phillies have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 47% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Philadelphia Phillies at 47% — final result was Seattle Mariners win, Seattle Mariners 4-1 Philadelphia Phillies.

Predicted score was 4-6.

The model itself flagged this as a low confidence pick (48/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Match trends

  • Seattle Mariners have averaged 4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Philadelphia Phillies have averaged 5.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Seattle Mariners are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Philadelphia Phillies.
Odds not available for this match yet.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Seattle Mariners wins
4Philadelphia Phillies wins
22-37Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
2
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
3
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
4
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
1
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
2
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
3
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
4
Athletics
1345381-18540
5
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
5
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
6
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
7
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
10
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
11
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
12
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
14
Athletics
1345381-18540
15
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
5
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
1
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
3
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
4
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
5
New York Mets
1336073-4645
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
4
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
5
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
4
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
6
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
8
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
11
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
12
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
13
New York Mets
1336073-4645
14
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
15
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239

More MLB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies?+

Our AI model favors Philadelphia Phillies to win, with a 47% probability (Seattle Mariners 53%).

What time does Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies start?+

First pitch is at Aug 26, 2026, 1:40 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies?+

Seattle Mariners: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 0. Philadelphia Phillies: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 4-1.