Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Seibu Lions | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | — | 7 | 12 | 0 |
 Chiba Lotte Marines | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
The data suggests that the Seibu Lions, with a strong home record and a recent head-to-head victory, hold an advantage going into this matchup. The Chiba Lotte Marines have struggled on the road, particularly with their pitching, giving up an average of 4.8 runs over the last 10 games. Based on these trends, the estimated final score is Seibu Lions 4, Chiba Lotte Marines 3.
- Seibu Lions have a home win rate of 47% this season.
- Chiba Lotte Marines have won 2 out of their last 10 games on the road.
- Historically, Seibu Lions won the last matchup against Chiba Lotte Marines 2-0 at home.
- Chiba Lotte Marines allowed an average of 4.8 runs per game in their last 10 games.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Seibu Lions
- Sharper attackSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions are averaging 3.5 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
3.5/game - Historical edgeChiba Lotte Marines
Chiba Lotte Marines have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions sit 3 places above Chiba Lotte Marines in the table.
#2 vs #5 - Good recent formSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 57% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Seibu Lions at 57% — final result was Seibu Lions win, Seibu Lions 7-0 Chiba Lotte Marines.
Predicted score was 4-3.
This was a high confidence pick (76/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Seibu Lions have averaged 3.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chiba Lotte Marines have averaged 3.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Seibu Lions are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Chiba Lotte Marines.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Seibu Lions | Chiba Lotte Marines |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 3.27▼ | 1.30▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.67▼ | 1.44▲ |
| -1 | 2.14 | 1.60 |
| -0.5 | 1.74 | 1.98 |
| +0.5 | 1.65 | 2.11 |
| +1 | 1.47 | 2.39 |
| +1.5 | 1.40▼ | 2.71▲ |
| +2 | 1.30 | 3.21▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.29 | 3.14 |
| 5.5 | 1.49▲ | 2.48▼ |
| 6 | 1.58▲ | 2.25▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.73▲ | 2.03▼ |
| 7 | 1.91▲ | 1.80▼ |
| 7.5 | 2.17▲ | 1.62▼ |
| 8 | 2.42▲ | 1.50 |
| 8.5 | 2.68▲ | 1.44▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 | Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 | Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines?+
Our AI model favors Seibu Lions to win, with a 57% probability (Chiba Lotte Marines 43%).
What time does Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines start?+
First pitch is at Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines?+
Seibu Lions: 0, 1, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0, 3. Chiba Lotte Marines: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 7-0.