Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Seibu Lions | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
 Chiba Lotte Marines | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-2
Data suggests that the Seibu Lions are favored to win, bolstered by their superior standing and recent performance against the Chiba Lotte Marines. Historically, the Lions have dominated the recent matchups, including a decisive 7-0 victory in their last game. The Marines, on the other hand, have struggled significantly, particularly in away games, which may lead to a low scoring encounter.
- Seibu Lions are ranked 2nd in the Pacific Division with a 0.542 win percentage.
- Chiba Lotte Marines have lost 7 of their last 10 games, averaging just 1.9 runs scored per game.
- Seibu Lions won both recent encounters against Chiba Lotte Marines at home by scores of 7-0 and 2-0.
Confidence is high because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Seibu Lions
- Sharper attackSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions are averaging 3.2 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
3.2/game - Good recent formSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formChiba Lotte Marines
Chiba Lotte Marines have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Tighter defenseSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions are conceding just 2.5 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.5/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 54% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Seibu Lions at 54% — final result was Chiba Lotte Marines win, Seibu Lions 1-5 Chiba Lotte Marines.
Predicted score was 4-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Seibu Lions have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chiba Lotte Marines have averaged 3.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Seibu Lions are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Chiba Lotte Marines.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Seibu Lions | Chiba Lotte Marines |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 3.44 | 1.27 |
| -1.5 | 2.73▲ | 1.43▼ |
| -1 | 2.19 | 1.57 |
| -0.5 | 1.75▼ | 1.96▲ |
| +0.5 | 1.67▼ | 2.08▲ |
| +1 | 1.46 | 2.41 |
| +1.5 | 1.39▼ | 2.79▲ |
| +2 | 1.26 | 3.57 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 1.35 | 3.01 |
| 5 | 1.41 | 2.67 |
| 5.5 | 1.63▲ | 2.16 |
| 6 | 1.75▲ | 1.97▲ |
| 6.5 | 1.95▲ | 1.80▼ |
| 7 | 2.22 | 1.60 |
| 7.5 | 2.51▲ | 1.47 |
| 8 | 2.81 | 1.35 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 117 | 67 | 50 | +71 | 57 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 119 | 63 | 56 | +25 | 53 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 118 | 54 | 64 | +7 | 46 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 117 | 52 | 65 | -75 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Hiroshima Carp | 114 | 47 | 67 | -78 | 41 | — |
| 6 |  Chunichi Dragons | 121 | 51 | 70 | -8 | 42 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 118 | 73 | 45 | +183 | 62 | — |
| 2 | Seibu Lions | 121 | 69 | 52 | +41 | 57 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 121 | 67 | 54 | +67 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 120 | 57 | 63 | -73 | 48 | — |
| 5 | Chiba Lotte Marines | 115 | 52 | 63 | -74 | 45 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 117 | 45 | 72 | -86 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Yakult SwallowsHanshin TigersRakuten Gold. EaglesOrix BuffaloesYomiuri GiantsYokohama BayStarsChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines?+
Our AI model favors Seibu Lions to win, with a 54% probability (Chiba Lotte Marines 46%).
What time does Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines start?+
First pitch is at Aug 15, 2026, 8:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines?+
Seibu Lions: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0. Chiba Lotte Marines: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 1. Final: 1-5.