Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Seibu Lions | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | — | 7 | 11 | 0 |
 Chiba Lotte Marines | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
The numbers suggest a competitive matchup between Seibu Lions and Chiba Lotte Marines, with Seibu Lions benefiting from a stronger home win rate of 47%. Chiba Lotte Marines have struggled recently, averaging only 2.4 runs scored over their last 10 games, which could hinder their chances. Despite their recent head-to-head results slightly favoring the Marines, Seibu's solid standing in the division may give them an edge in this game.
- Seibu Lions have a 47% home win rate this season.
- Chiba Lotte Marines average 2.4 runs scored and 5 runs allowed over their last 10 games.
- In their last 5 matchups, Seibu Lions have won only 1 against the Chiba Lotte Marines.
- Seibu Lions rank 2nd in the Pacific Division, while Chiba Lotte Marines rank 5th.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Seibu Lions
- Good recent formSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formChiba Lotte Marines
Chiba Lotte Marines have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Sharper attackSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions are averaging 3.5 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
3.5/game - Tighter defenseSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions are conceding just 2.8 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.8/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Seibu Lions at 58% — final result was Seibu Lions win, Seibu Lions 7-1 Chiba Lotte Marines.
Predicted score was 4-3.
This was a high confidence pick (79/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Seibu Lions have averaged 3.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chiba Lotte Marines have averaged 3.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Seibu Lions are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Chiba Lotte Marines.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Seibu Lions | Chiba Lotte Marines |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.22▼ | 1.30▲ |
| -2 | 2.94▼ | 1.35▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.43▼ | 1.53▲ |
| -1 | 1.95▼ | 1.73▲ |
| -0.5 | 1.68▼ | 2.08▲ |
| +0.5 | 1.59▼ | 2.22▲ |
| +1 | 1.37▼ | 2.71▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.33▼ | 3.04▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.34▼ | 2.95▲ |
| 5.5 | 1.55▼ | 2.31▲ |
| 6 | 1.65▼ | 2.12▲ |
| 6.5 | 1.86▼ | 1.88▲ |
| 7 | 2.04▼ | 1.70▲ |
| 7.5 | 2.32▼ | 1.55▲ |
| 8 | 2.61▼ | 1.43▲ |
| 8.5 | 2.81▼ | 1.39▲ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 | Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 | Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines?+
Our AI model favors Seibu Lions to win, with a 58% probability (Chiba Lotte Marines 42%).
What time does Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines start?+
First pitch is at Aug 16, 2026, 8:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines?+
Seibu Lions: 2, 2, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 2. Chiba Lotte Marines: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1. Final: 7-1.