Shenyang Urban vs Sichuan Jiuniu

Super League· Regular Season - 23
LGoals 0-112th in league
WWLDGoals 10-139th in league
Home6W 0D 6L(19-18)
Away2W 1D 9L(10-27)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 11'Jeffinho
  2. 11'H. Zhang
  3. 31'Albion Ademi (Wesley Moraes)
  4. 32'Yiming Yang
  5. 57'Yiming Yang (Rui Yu)
  6. 57'Zhang Yufeng (Dai Wai Tsun)
  7. 65'Chen Binbin (Li Haoran)
  8. 65'Dilmurat Mawlanyaz (Gao Jiarun)
  9. 66'Rui Yu
  10. 70'Chow Tim
  11. 81'Zang Yifeng (Yan Dinghao)
  12. 87'Albion Ademi (Yu Menghui)
  13. 90+4'Zhipeng Jiang
  14. 90+5'Zhipeng Jiang
  15. 90+6'Dai Wai Tsun (Jianfei Zhao)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Shenyang UrbanSichuan Jiuniu
0.0
Goals/game
1.0
1.0
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Shenyang Urban win
42%
Draw
25%
Sichuan Jiuniu win
33%
30.2%BTTS
23%Over 2.5
36.8%Shenyang Urban clean sheet
52.2%Sichuan Jiuniu clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a closely contested match, with Shenyang Urban holding a slight edge due to their home advantage. Although both teams have been inconsistent recently, Shenyang's better home performance and Sichuan's struggles away from home may lead to a balanced encounter, possibly resulting in a draw.

  • Shenyang Urban has a home record of 6 wins and 5 losses this season.
  • Sichuan Jiuniu has struggled on the road, with only 1 away win out of 11 games.
  • Sichuan Jiuniu has a negative goal difference (-11) compared to Shenyang Urban's (-5).
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
68/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Shenyang Urban

  • Poor recent formShenyang Urban

    Shenyang Urban have lost 1 of their last 1 matches.

    0W 0D 1L
  • Strong home recordShenyang Urban

    Shenyang Urban have won 6 of their last 12 home matches.

    6/12 home wins
  • Weak away recordSichuan Jiuniu

    Sichuan Jiuniu have won 2 of their last 12 away matches.

    2/12 away wins
  • Sharper attackSichuan Jiuniu

    Sichuan Jiuniu are averaging 1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Limited recent-match sample

    Shenyang Urban has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Shenyang Urban at 42% — final result was Sichuan Jiuniu win, Shenyang Urban 1-2 Sichuan Jiuniu.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Shenyang Urban2.35market 42.6% · model 42%
Sichuan Jiuniu2.68market 37.3% · model 33%
Draw3.60market 27.7% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Shenyang Urban have averaged 0 goals scored per game over their last 1 matches.
  • Sichuan Jiuniu have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Shenyang Urban2.35best 2.48
Draw3.60best 3.80
Sichuan Jiuniu2.68best 2.90

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.56best 1.60
Under 2.52.33best 2.41

Both teams to score

Yes1.47best 1.50
No2.49best 2.55

Double chance

Shenyang Urban/Draw1.41best 1.47
Shenyang Urban/Sichuan Jiuniu1.25best 1.29
Draw/Sichuan Jiuniu1.57best 1.67

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17best 1.17
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75best 3.75

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Shenyang Urban2.35 0.23
Draw3.60
Sichuan Jiuniu2.68 0.31
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Shenyang Urban win+2.5pp
AI
42%
Market
39.5%
Draw-0.8pp
AI
25%
Market
25.8%
Sichuan Jiuniu win-1.7pp
AI
33%
Market
34.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
12
Shenyang Urban
227312-624LWLD
9
Sichuan Jiuniu
238213-1026LWLL

Pre-match comparison

0Goals scored per game1
1Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 1 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Sichuan Jiuniu

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Super League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Shenyang Urban vs Sichuan Jiuniu?+

Our AI model favors Shenyang Urban to win, with a 42% probability (Draw 25%, Sichuan Jiuniu 33%).

What time does Shenyang Urban vs Sichuan Jiuniu kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 11:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).