Sport Recife vs Londrina

Serie B· Regular Season - 22
Sport Recife
21Full-time
Londrina
LLWLGoals 8-288th in league
LLDLGoals 9-1418th in league
Home4W 7D 1L(19-14)
Away2W 2D 9L(14-22)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 11'Diego Hernández (Clayson)
  2. 15'Diego Hernández
  3. 30'Joao Vitor (Kauê Leonardo)
  4. 41'Chrystian Barletta (Marlon)
  5. 43'Diego Hernández (Clayson)
  6. 53'Joao Vitor
  7. 69'William Pottker (Gilberto)
  8. 69'Vitinho Mota (Pablo Dyego)
  9. 70'Clayson (Dudu)
  10. 70'Joao Tavares (Guilherme Dantas)
  11. 70'Diego Hernández (Juan Alano)
  12. 77'Heron (Kevyn)
  13. 82'Perotti (Biel Fonseca)
  14. 82'Claudinho (Marcelo Benevenuto)
  15. 88'Lucas Marques (Rai Nascimento)
  16. 90+3'Felipinho

Lineups

Sport RecifeLondrina
0.8
Goals/game
0.9
2.8
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Sport Recife win
57%
Draw
26%
Londrina win
17%
56.2%BTTS
56.6%Over 2.5
15.7%Sport Recife clean sheet
33.3%Londrina clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests Sport Recife holds a significant advantage heading into this matchup, particularly with their unbeaten home record this season. In contrast, Londrina's struggles, with only 2 away victories and a recent form of LLLDD, weaken their chances. Historically, Sport Recife has been successful against Londrina, winning the last two encounters, which further bolsters their outlook for this match.

  • Sport Recife has not lost at home this season, with 3 wins and 7 draws.
  • Londrina has lost 5 of their last 6 matches, indicating poor recent form.
  • Historically, Sport Recife has won the last two encounters against Londrina.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
93/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Sport Recife

  • Tighter defenseLondrina

    Londrina are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game conceded
  • Historical edgeSport Recife

    Sport Recife have won 2 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.

    2/2 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionSport Recife

    Sport Recife sit 10 places above Londrina in the table.

    #8 vs #18
  • Poor recent formSport Recife

    Sport Recife have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Sport Recife at 57% — final result was Sport Recife win, Sport Recife 2-1 Londrina.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (93/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Sport Recife1.64market 60.9% · model 57%
Draw3.59market 27.9% · model 26%
Londrina5.24market 19.1% · model 17%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Sport Recife have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Londrina have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Sport Recife wins
0Draws
0Londrina wins
5-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Sport Recife1.64best 1.70
Draw3.59best 3.80
Londrina5.24best 5.90

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.95best 2.00
Under 2.51.82best 1.93

Both teams to score

Yes1.87best 1.92
No1.82best 1.87

Double chance

Sport Recife/Draw1.14best 1.17
Sport Recife/Londrina1.25best 1.29
Draw/Londrina2.16best 2.27

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.62best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.20best 2.20
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17best 1.17

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Sport Recife1.64 0.02
Draw3.59 0.19
Londrina5.24 0.18
11 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Sport Recife win+0.5pp
AI
57%
Market
56.5%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
26%
Market
25.8%
Londrina win-0.7pp
AI
17%
Market
17.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
Sport Recife
238114+735WWDD
18
Londrina
245613-721DLLL

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game0.9
2.8Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Sport Recife

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
100%
76-90+'
0%

Londrina

0-15'
100%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Serie B predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Sport Recife vs Londrina?+

Our AI model favors Sport Recife to win, with a 57% probability (Draw 26%, Londrina 17%).

What time does Sport Recife vs Londrina kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).