St.Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 St.Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
 Baltimore Orioles | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 6-5
Analysis shows that the St. Louis Cardinals have performed better at home this season, with a 55% win rate, and have averaged more runs scored over their last 10 games compared to the Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles struggle defensively, with a high number of runs allowed this season, which may impact their chances in this matchup. Given the recent head-to-head results favoring the Cardinals, the data suggests a close contest favoring the home side.
- St. Louis Cardinals have a 55% home win rate this season
- Baltimore Orioles have allowed 618 runs this season, the second-most in their league
- In their last 10 games, the Cardinals averaged 5.6 runs scored per game, slightly above the Orioles' 4 runs per game average
- Historically, the Cardinals have a favorable head-to-head record against the Orioles, winning 3 of the last 5 matchups.
Confidence is high because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors St.Louis Cardinals
- Higher league positionSt.Louis Cardinals
St.Louis Cardinals sit 1 place above Baltimore Orioles in the table.
#3 vs #4 - Sharper attackSt.Louis Cardinals
St.Louis Cardinals are averaging 5 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
5/game - Tighter defenseBaltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles are conceding just 4.4 runs per game over their recent matches.
4.4/game conceded - Historical edgeSt.Louis Cardinals
St.Louis Cardinals have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 55% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked St.Louis Cardinals at 55% — final result was Baltimore Orioles win, St.Louis Cardinals 1-13 Baltimore Orioles.
Predicted score was 6-5.
This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- St.Louis Cardinals have averaged 5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Baltimore Orioles have averaged 4.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- St.Louis Cardinals are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Baltimore Orioles.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | St.Louis Cardinals | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.32▼ | 1.31 |
| -2 | 3.07▲ | 1.36▼ |
| -1.5 | 2.55▼ | 1.52▲ |
| -1 | 2.10 | 1.72▼ |
| +1 | 1.54▼ | 2.43▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.43▼ | 2.70▲ |
| +2 | 1.33▼ | 3.19▲ |
| +2.5 | 1.28 | 3.50▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.43▲ | 2.73▼ |
| 7 | 1.53▲ | 2.46▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.74▲ | 2.09▼ |
| 8 | 1.88▲ | 1.93▼ |
| 8.5 | 1.99▲ | 1.80▼ |
| 9 | 2.23▲ | 1.64▼ |
| 9.5 | 2.52▲ | 1.50▼ |
| 10 | 2.80▲ | 1.41▼ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
More MLB predictions
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AthleticsBaltimore Orioles
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New York Yankees
Boston Red SoxFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win St.Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles?+
Our AI model favors St.Louis Cardinals to win, with a 55% probability (Baltimore Orioles 45%).
What time does St.Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles start?+
First pitch is at Aug 25, 2026, 11:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in St.Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles?+
St.Louis Cardinals: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Baltimore Orioles: 0, 0, 4, 0, 8, 1, 0, 0, 0. Final: 1-13.