St.Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 St.Louis Cardinals | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
 Baltimore Orioles | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-4
The analysis suggests a competitive matchup between the Cardinals and Orioles, with the Cardinals holding a slight home advantage. Historically, the Cardinals struggled against the Orioles in their previous meeting, where they lost significantly. The Cardinals average more runs scored at home, while the Orioles have recently been effective in their offensive efforts, particularly against St. Louis. Overall, the numbers favor the Cardinals at home, estimating a score of 5 to 4.
- St. Louis Cardinals have a 55% home win rate this season.
- Baltimore Orioles scored 13 runs in their last game against the Cardinals, showcasing strong offensive form.
- The Cardinals have allowed an average of 6.3 runs per game over their last 10, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
- The Cardinals have a slight edge in recent performance, having won 5 of their last 10 games despite the recent loss to the Orioles.
Confidence is moderate because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors St.Louis Cardinals
- Tighter defenseBaltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles are conceding just 4.4 runs per game over their recent matches.
4.4/game conceded - Higher league positionSt.Louis Cardinals
St.Louis Cardinals sit 1 place above Baltimore Orioles in the table.
#3 vs #4 - Historical edgeSt.Louis Cardinals
St.Louis Cardinals have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formSt.Louis Cardinals
St.Louis Cardinals have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 52% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked St.Louis Cardinals at 52% — final result was Baltimore Orioles win, St.Louis Cardinals 7-8 Baltimore Orioles.
Predicted score was 5-4.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- St.Louis Cardinals have averaged 5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Baltimore Orioles have averaged 4.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- St.Louis Cardinals are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Baltimore Orioles.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | St.Louis Cardinals | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 3.47▼ | 1.28▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.80▼ | 1.41 |
| -1 | 2.37▼ | 1.59▲ |
| +1 | 1.68 | 2.19 |
| +1.5 | 1.55▲ | 2.48▼ |
| +2 | 1.39 | 2.89▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.33▲ | 3.18▼ |
| +3 | 1.25▲ | 3.62▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.42▼ | 2.75▲ |
| 7 | 1.48▼ | 2.56▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.68▼ | 2.16▲ |
| 8 | 1.83▼ | 1.95▲ |
| 8.5 | 1.95▼ | 1.88▲ |
| 9 | 2.22▼ | 1.65▲ |
| 9.5 | 2.43▼ | 1.54▲ |
| 10 | 2.76▼ | 1.42▲ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Houston AstrosFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win St.Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles?+
Our AI model favors St.Louis Cardinals to win, with a 52% probability (Baltimore Orioles 48%).
What time does St.Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles start?+
First pitch is at Aug 26, 2026, 11:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in St.Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles?+
St.Louis Cardinals: 0, 1, 0, 0, 6, 0, 0, 0, 0. Baltimore Orioles: 5, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1. Final: 7-8.