Swindon Town vs Cheltenham
Match events
- 4'Matthew Virtue-Thick
- 17'A. Drinan (A. Munda)
- 46'J. Pearman (O. Palmer)
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.7
- Conceded/game
- 1.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests that this match may be closely fought, with both teams showing vulnerabilities in their recent form. Swindon Town managed to secure a draw in their latest outing, while Cheltenham comes in with a win, edging them slightly in terms of momentum. The head-to-head history indicates that matches between these two sides are often competitive, which could lead to another stalemate.
- Swindon Town has drawn their last match but has a recent home record of 1 draw in their last 5 matches.
- Cheltenham won their last match, bringing a better recent form compared to Swindon's last five games.
- Historically, matches between these teams have been closely contested, with three draws in the last five encounters.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Swindon Town
- Higher league positionSwindon Town
Swindon Town sit 7 places above Cheltenham in the table.
#7 vs #14 - Poor recent formSwindon Town
Swindon Town have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
0W 2D 3L - Poor recent formCheltenham
Cheltenham have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Sharper attackCheltenham
Cheltenham are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Swindon Town at 49% — final result was Swindon Town win, Swindon Town 2-1 Cheltenham.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (85/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Swindon Town have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cheltenham have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Cheltenham
Swindon TownSwindon TownCheltenhamSwindon TownCheltenhamCheltenhamSwindon TownSwindon TownCheltenhamCheltenhamSwindon TownCheltenhamSwindon TownCheltenhamSwindon TownOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Swindon Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | WD |
| 14 | Cheltenham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
C. Hicks
Based on 10 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Cheltenham
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NorthamptonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Swindon Town vs Cheltenham?+
Our AI model favors Swindon Town to win, with a 49% probability (Draw 27%, Cheltenham 24%).
What time does Swindon Town vs Cheltenham kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).