Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama BayStars
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yakult Swallows | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | — | 7 | 9 | 0 |
 Yokohama BayStars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-5
Current metrics suggest a competitive matchup between the Yakult Swallows and Yokohama BayStars. Historically, Yokohama has had the upper hand in their recent matchups, winning 9 of the last 10 games against Yakult, which supports their higher away win probability. Despite Yakult’s decent recent form at home, the numbers indicate that Yokohama may have the edge in this contest.
- Yakult Swallows have a home win rate of 56% this season.
- Yokohama BayStars have a stronger away win rate at 65%.
- Yokohama has won 9 of the last 10 encounters against Yakult Swallows.
- Both teams average over 4 runs scored per game in their last 10 games.],
- content':'Current metrics suggest a competitive matchup between the Yakult Swallows and Yokohama BayStars. Historically, Yokohama has had the upper hand in their recent matchups, winning 9 of the last 10 games against Yakult, which supports their higher away win probability. Despite Yakult’s decent recent form at home, the numbers indicate that Yokohama may have the edge in this contest.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Yokohama BayStars
- Historical edgeYakult Swallows
Yakult Swallows have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Sharper attackYakult Swallows
Yakult Swallows are averaging 3.4 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
3.4/game - Tighter defenseYakult Swallows
Yakult Swallows are conceding just 4.1 runs per game over their recent matches.
4.1/game conceded - Poor recent formYakult Swallows
Yakult Swallows have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 57% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Yokohama BayStars at 57% — final result was Yakult Swallows win, Yakult Swallows 7-2 Yokohama BayStars.
Predicted score was 4-5.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Yakult Swallows have averaged 3.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yokohama BayStars have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yakult Swallows are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Yokohama BayStars.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Yakult Swallows | Yokohama BayStars |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 2.79 | 1.35 |
| -0.5 | 2.21 | 1.60 |
| +0.5 | 2.11 | 1.65 |
| +1 | 1.84 | 1.82 |
| +1.5 | 1.67▲ | 2.13▼ |
| +2 | 1.52▲ | 2.36▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.42 | 2.68▼ |
| +3 | 1.31 | 3.05▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.35 | 2.84 |
| 6.5 | 1.49 | 2.43 |
| 7 | 1.62 | 2.18 |
| 7.5 | 1.84 | 1.88 |
| 8 | 1.96 | 1.75 |
| 8.5 | 2.14 | 1.64 |
| 9 | 2.45 | 1.49 |
| 9.5 | 2.73 | 1.40 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 117 | 67 | 50 | +71 | 57 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 119 | 63 | 56 | +25 | 53 | — |
| 3 | Yokohama BayStars | 118 | 54 | 64 | +7 | 46 | — |
| 4 | Yakult Swallows | 117 | 52 | 65 | -75 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Hiroshima Carp | 114 | 47 | 67 | -78 | 41 | — |
| 6 |  Chunichi Dragons | 121 | 51 | 70 | -8 | 42 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 118 | 73 | 45 | +183 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 121 | 69 | 52 | +41 | 57 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 121 | 67 | 54 | +67 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 120 | 57 | 63 | -73 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 115 | 52 | 63 | -74 | 45 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 117 | 45 | 72 | -86 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Yakult SwallowsHanshin TigersRakuten Gold. EaglesOrix BuffaloesYomiuri GiantsYokohama BayStarsChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama BayStars?+
Our AI model favors Yokohama BayStars to win, with a 57% probability (Yakult Swallows 43%).
What time does Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama BayStars start?+
First pitch is at Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama BayStars?+
Yakult Swallows: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 6, 0, 0. Yokohama BayStars: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0. Final: 7-2.